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Frontiers of Earth Science

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RESEARCH ARTICLE
Assimilation of atmospheric infrared sounder radiances with WRF-GSI for improving typhoon forecast
Yan-An LIU, Zhibin SUN, Maosi CHEN, Hung-Lung Allen HUANG, Wei GAO
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 457-467.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0728-6
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The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS) can provide the profile information on atmospheric temperature and humidity in high vertical resolution. The assimilation of its radiances has been proven to improve the Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) in global models. In this study, regional assimilation of AIRS radiances was carried out in a community assimilation system, using Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation (GSI) coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The AIRS channel selection, quality control, and radiances bias correction were examined and illustrated for optimized assimilation. The bias correction scheme in the regional model showed that corrections on most of the channels produce satisfactory results except for several land surface channels. The assimilation and forecast experiments were carried out for three typhoon cases (Saola, Damrey, and Haikui in 2012) with and without including AIRS radiances. Results show that the assimilation of AIRS radiances into the WRF/GSI model improves both the typhoon track and intensity in a 72-hour forecast.

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Drift analysis of MH370 debris in the southern Indian Ocean
Jia GAO, Lin MU, Xianwen BAO, Jun SONG, Yang DING
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 468-480.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0693-0
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Malaysian Airlines Flight MH370 disappeared on 8 March 2014, while flying from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing. A flaperon from the flight was found on Reunion Island in July 2015. Two more confirmed pieces of debris were found in Mauritius and Tanzania, and 19 unconfirmed items were found off Mozambique, South Africa, and Madagascar. Drift buoys originating from the designated underwater search area arrived in Reunion Island, Mauritius, and Tanzania. Some of these buoys took a similarly long time as did real debris to reach these destinations, following a heading northeast and then west. For the present study, a maritime object drift prediction model was developed. “High resolution surface currents, Stokes drift, and winds” were processed, and a series of model experiments were constructed. The predicted trajectories of the modeled objects were similar to the observed trajectories of the drift buoys. Many modeled objects drifted northward then westward, ending up in Reunion Island, Mauritius, and Tanzania with probabilities of 5‰, 5‰, and 19‰, respectively. At the end of the simulation, most objects were located near 10°S in the western Indian Ocean. There were significant differences between experiments with different leeway factors, possibly because of the influence of southeast trade winds. The north part of the underwater search area is most likely to be the crash site, because the predicted trajectories of objects originating here are consistent with the many pieces of debris found along the east coast of Africa and the absence of such findings on the west coast of Australia.

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Quantitative extraction of the bedrock exposure rate based on unmanned aerial vehicle data and Landsat-8 OLI image in a karst environment
Hongyan WANG, Qiangzi LI, Xin DU, Longcai ZHAO
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 481-490.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0681-9
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In the karst regions of southwest China, rocky desertification is one of the most serious problems in land degradation. The bedrock exposure rate is an important index to assess the degree of rocky desertification in karst regions. Because of the inherent merits of macro-scale, frequency, efficiency, and synthesis, remote sensing is a promising method to monitor and assess karst rocky desertification on a large scale. However, actual measurement of the bedrock exposure rate is difficult and existing remote-sensing methods cannot directly be exploited to extract the bedrock exposure rate owing to the high complexity and heterogeneity of karst environments. Therefore, using unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) and Landsat-8 Operational Land Imager (OLI) data for Xingren County, Guizhou Province, quantitative extraction of the bedrock exposure rate based on multi-scale remote-sensing data was developed. Firstly, we used an object-oriented method to carry out accurate classification of UAV images. From the results of rock extraction, the bedrock exposure rate was calculated at the 30 m grid scale. Parts of the calculated samples were used as training data; other data were used for model validation. Secondly, in each grid the band reflectivity of Landsat-8 OLI data was extracted and a variety of rock and vegetation indexes (e.g., NDVI and SAVI) were calculated. Finally, a network model was established to extract the bedrock exposure rate. The correlation coefficient of the network model was 0.855, that of the validation model was 0.677 and the root mean square error of the validation model was 0.073. This method is valuable for wide-scale estimation of bedrock exposure rate in karst environments. Using the quantitative inversion model, a distribution map of the bedrock exposure rate in Xingren County was obtained.

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Application of cluster analysis to geochemical compositional data for identifying ore-related geochemical anomalies
Shuguang ZHOU, Kefa ZHOU, Jinlin WANG, Genfang YANG, Shanshan WANG
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 491-505.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0682-8
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Cluster analysis is a well-known technique that is used to analyze various types of data. In this study, cluster analysis is applied to geochemical data that describe 1444 stream sediment samples collected in northwestern Xinjiang with a sample spacing of approximately 2 km. Three algorithms (the hierarchical, k-means, and fuzzy c-means algorithms) and six data transformation methods (the z-score standardization, ZST; the logarithmic transformation, LT; the additive log-ratio transformation, ALT; the centered log-ratio transformation, CLT; the isometric log-ratio transformation, ILT; and no transformation, NT) are compared in terms of their effects on the cluster analysis of the geochemical compositional data. The study shows that, on the one hand, the ZST does not affect the results of column- or variable-based (R-type) cluster analysis, whereas the other methods, including the LT, the ALT, and the CLT, have substantial effects on the results. On the other hand, the results of the row- or observation-based (Q-type) cluster analysis obtained from the geochemical data after applying NT and the ZST are relatively poor. However, we derive some improved results from the geochemical data after applying the CLT, the ILT, the LT, and the ALT. Moreover, the k-means and fuzzy c-means clustering algorithms are more reliable than the hierarchical algorithm when they are used to cluster the geochemical data. We apply cluster analysis to the geochemical data to explore for Au deposits within the study area, and we obtain a good correlation between the results retrieved by combining the CLT or the ILT with the k-means or fuzzy c-means algorithms and the potential zones of Au mineralization. Therefore, we suggest that the combination of the CLT or the ILT with the k-means or fuzzy c-means algorithms is an effective tool to identify potential zones of mineralization from geochemical data.

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Use of Sentinel-1 imagery for flood management in a reservoir-regulated river basin
T. PERROU, A. GARIOUD, I. PARCHARIDIS
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 506-520.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0711-2
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Flood hazard monitoring and mapping is of great importance because it represents a significant contribution to risk management. The present study investigated the flood event that occurred downstream from the transboundary Strymon River basin, more specifically at Serres basin–a reservoir-regulated basin, in the beginning of 2015. The focus of this study was to better understand the spatio-temporal dynamic of the flood and the causes that initiated the hazard. Within the Serres basin, the Strymon transboundary river outflows to Lake Kerkini, which regulates water flow downstream for irrigation purposes and flood protection. For this research, a dataset of Sentinel-1 SAR GRD images was collected and processed covering the period of October 2014?October 2015 to investigate the water level changes in Lake Kerkini. Based on SAR images, binary water/non-water products and multitemporal RGB amplitude images were generated and interpreted. Sentinel-1 products have proved to be an effective tool on flood hazard dynamic extension mapping and estimation of water extent bodies retained by small reservoirs. In agreement with hydro-meteorological data and the high-resolution DEM, it was conceived that the flood event occurred due to the water volume flowing from upstream in the reservoir and the large amount of water draining from the tributaries into nearby sub-basins. Moreover, inefficient water management of the overwhelming water flow through the dam could further strengthen the flood event. The proposed approach, which is entirely based on open access remotely sensed data?and processing tools, could be implemented in the same area for past flood events to produce archive retrospective data, as well as in other similar reservoir-regulated river basins in terms of water management and flood risk management.

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Remote sensing study of wetlands in the Pearl River Delta during 1995---2015 with the support vector machine method
Xiaosong HAN, Jiayi PAN, Adam T. DEVLIN
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 521-531.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0672-x
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In recent years, the Pearl River Delta has experienced rapid economic growth which may create a substantial burden to its ecology. In this study, the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta are investigated. Through the use of remote sensing methods, we analyze spatial and temporal variations of wetlands in this area over the past twenty years. The support vector machine (SVM) method is proven to be an effective approach for classifying the wetlands of the Pearl River Delta, and the total classification resolution reaches 94.94% with a Kappa coefficient exceeding 0.94, higher than other comparable analysis methods. Our results show that wetland areas were reduced by 36.9% during the past twenty years. The change detection analysis method shows that there was a 95.58% intertidal zone change to other land-use types, most of which (57.12%) was converted to construction land. In addition, farmland was reduced by 54.89% during the past twenty years, 47.19% of which was changed to construction land use. The inland water area increased 19.02%, but most of this growth (18.77%) was converted from the intertidal zone.

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Thermal-history reconstruction of the Baiyun Sag in the deep-water area of the Pearl River Mouth Basin, northern South China Sea
Xiaoyin TANG, Shuchun YANG, Shengbiao HU
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 532-544.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0675-7
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The Baiyun Sag, located in the deep-water area of the northern South China Sea, is the largest and deepest subbasin in the Pearl River Mouth Basin and one of the most important hydrocarbon-accumulation depression areas in China. Thermal history is widely thought to be of great importance in oil and gas potential assessment of a basin as it controls the timing of hydrocarbon generation and expulsion from the source rock. In order to unravel the paleo-heat flow of the Baiyun Sag, we first analyzed tectonic subsidence of 55 pseudo-wells constructed based on newly interpreted seismic profiles, along with three drilled wells. We then carried out thermal modeling using the multi-stage finite stretching method and calibrated the results using collected present-day vitrinite reflectance data and temperature data. Results indicate that the first and second heating of the Baiyun Sag after 49 Ma ceased at 33.9 Ma and 23 Ma. Reconstructed average basal paleo-heat flow values at the end of the rifting periods are ~57.7–86.2 mW/m2 and ~66.7–97.3 mW/m2, respectively. Following the last heating period at 23 Ma, the study area has undergone a persistent thermal attenuation phase, and basal heat flow has cooled down to ~64.0–79.2 mW/m2 at present.

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In-situ stress distribution and coalbed methane reservoir permeability in the Linxing area, eastern Ordos Basin, China
Wei JU, Jian SHEN, Yong QIN, Shangzhi MENG, Chao LI, Guozhang LI, Guang YANG
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 545-554.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0676-6
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Understanding the distribution of in-situ stresses is extremely important in a wide range of fields such as oil and gas exploration and development, CO2 sequestration, borehole stability, and stress-related geohazards assessment. In the present study, the in-situ stress distribution in the Linxing area of eastern Ordos Basin, China, was analyzed based on well tested parameters. The maximum horizontal principal stress (SHmax), minimum horizontal principal stress (Shmin), and vertical stress (Sv) were calculated, and they were linearly correlated with burial depth. In general, two types of in-situ stress fields were determined in the Linxing area: (i) the in-situ stress state followed the relation Sv>SHmax>Shmin in shallow layers with burial depths of less than about 940 m, indicating a normal faulting stress regime; (ii) the SHmax magnitude increased conspicuously and was greater than the Sv magnitude in deep layers with depths more than about 940 m, and the in-situ stress state followed the relation SHmax>Sv>Shmin, demonstrating a strike-slip faulting stress regime. The horizontal differential stress (SHmaxShmin) increased with burial depth, indicating that wellbore instability may be a potentially significant problem when drilling deep vertical wells. The lateral stress coefficient ranged from 0.73 to 1.08 with an average of 0.93 in the Linxing area. The coalbed methane (CBM) reservoir permeability was also analyzed. No obvious exponential relationship was found between coal permeability and effective in-situ stress magnitude. Coal permeability was relatively high under a larger effective in-situ stress magnitude. Multiple factors, including fracture development, contribute to the variation of CBM reservoir permeability in the Linxing area of eastern Ordos Basin.

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Structural characteristics and implication on tectonic evolution of the Daerbute strike-slip fault in West Junggar area, NW China
Kongyou WU, Yangwen PEI, Tianran LI, Xulong WANG, Yin LIU, Bo LIU, Chao MA, Mei HONG
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 555-568.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0686-z
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The Daerbute fault zone, located in the northwestern margin of the Junggar basin, in the Central Asian Orogenic Belt, is a regional strike-slip fault with a length of ~ 400 km. The NE-SW trending Daerbute fault zone presents a distinct linear trend in plain view, cutting through both the Zair Mountain and the Hala’alate Mountain. Because of the intense contraction and shearing, the rocks within the fault zone experienced high degree of cataclasis, schistosity, and mylonization, resulting in rocks that are easily eroded to form a valley with a width of 300–500 m and a depth of 50–100 m after weathering and erosion. The well-exposed outcrops along the Daerbute fault zone present sub-horizontal striations and sub-vertical fault steps, indicating sub-horizontal shearing along the observed fault planes. Flower structures and horizontal drag folds are also observed in both the well-exposed outcrops and high-resolution satellite images. The distribution of accommodating strike-slip splay faults, e.g., the 973-pluton fault and the Great Jurassic Trough fault, are in accordance with the Riedel model of simple shear. The seismic and time-frequency electromagnetic (TFEM) sections also demonstrate the typical strike-slip characteristics of the Daerbute fault zone. Based on detailed field observations of well-exposed outcrops and seismic sections, the Daerbute fault can be subdivided into two segments: the western segment presents multiple fault cores and damage zones, whereas the eastern segment only presents a single fault core, in which the rocks experienced a higher degree of rock cataclasis, schistosity, and mylonization. In the central overlapping portion between the two segments, the sediments within the fault zone are primarily reddish sandstones, conglomerates, and some mudstones, of which the palynological tests suggest middle Permian as the timing of deposition. The deformation timing of the Daerbute fault was estimated by integrating the depocenters’ basinward migration and initiation of the splay faults (e.g., the Great Jurassic Trough fault and the 973-pluton fault). These results indicate that there were probably two periods of faulting deformation for the Daerbute fault. By integrating our study with previous studies, we speculate that the Daerbute fault experienced a two-phase strike-slip faulting deformation, commencing with the initial dextral strike-slip faulting in mid-late Permian, and then being inversed to sinistral strike-slip faulting since the Triassic. The results of this study can provide useful insights for the regional tectonics and local hydrocarbon exploration.

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Assessment of trace metal contamination in groundwater in a highly urbanizing area of Shenfu New District, Northeast China
Yintao LU, Xinghua ZANG, Hong YAO, Shichao ZHANG, Shaobin SUN, Fang LIU
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 569-582.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0677-0
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Shenfu New District, located between two old industrial cities, Shenyang and Fushun, is a typical area undergoing industrialization and urbanization in China. The sources and distributions of heavy metals were analyzed in groundwater by multivariate analysis and GIS, and the impact of urbanization on the aqueous distribution of these metals was investigated. The results indicated that the mean contents of zinc (Zn), arsenic (As), cadmium (Cd), and lead (Pb) in the wet periods were about two times of those in the dry period. Nickel (Ni) and chromium (Cr) were considered to be associated with the same anthropogenic origins (i.e., wastewater from agricultural processing). The concentration of Zn was high under natural conditions, but was also affected by human activities (e.g., wastewater from foundry and instrument manufacturers). As, Cd, and Pb are likely derived from both anthropogenic and natural sources (agricultural and water-rock interactions). The spatial distributions of heavy metals in groundwater were region-specific, with the highest concentrations mostly along the Hun River. The heavy metal pollution index (HPI) values from the dry and wet periods showed similar trends at different sampling sites. Only one site’s HPI was above the critical value of 100. These results provide information that can be used to understand potential threats to the groundwater resources of other developing cities.

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Upriver transport of dissolved substances in an estuary and sub-estuary system of the lower James River, Chesapeake Bay
Bo HONG, Jian SHEN, Hongzhou XU
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 583-599.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0684-6
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The water exchange between the James River and the Elizabeth River, an estuary and sub-estuary system in the lower Chesapeake Bay, was investigated using a 3D numerical model. The conservative passive tracers were used to represent the dissolved substances (DS) discharged from the Elizabeth River. The approach enabled us to diagnose the underlying physical processes that control the expansion of the DS, which is representative of potential transport of harmful algae blooms, pollutants from the Elizabeth River to the James River without explicitly simulating biological processes. Model simulations with realistic forcings in 2005, together with a series of process-oriented numerical experiments, were conducted to explore the correlations of the transport process and external forcing. Model results show that the upriver transport depends highly on the freshwater discharge on a seasonal scale and maximum upriver transport occurs in summer with a mean transport time ranging from 15–30 days. The southerly/easterly wind, low river discharge, and neap tidal condition all act to strengthen the upriver transport. On the other hand, the northerly/westerly wind, river pulse, water level pulse, and spring tidal condition act to inhibit the upriver transport. Tidal flushing plays an important role in transporting the DS during spring tide, which shortens the travel time in the lower James River. The multivariable regression analysis of volume mean subtidal DS concentration in the mesohaline portion of the James River indicates that DS concentration in the upriver area can be explained and well predicted by the physical forcings (r= 0.858, p=0.00001).

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The aliphatic hydrocarbon distributions of terrestrial plants around an alpine lake: a pilot study from Lake Ximencuo, Eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau
Yang PU, Jihong JIA, Jicheng CAO
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 600-610.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-017-0685-5
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As part of an investigation of the sources of aliphatic hydrocarbons to the sediments of alpine Lake Ximencuo, leaves of the eight dominant vascular plants were collected and their hydrocarbon contents were analyzed. A series of unsaturated aliphatic hydrocarbons were identified in the plant leaves; in particular, Festuca sp. contain a series of n-alkadienes that have rarely been reported in previous studies. The comparison of n-alkane proxies (ACL27–33, ACLT, Paq, and CPI) and d13Corg among plant leaves, surface soils, and lake sediments suggests that organic proxies have been altered to varying degrees during the transport and burial process of organic materials. It is believed that microbial reworking and source changes have great impacts on organic proxies in the alpine lake system. In addition, the cluster analysis for plant leaves depending on n-alkane compositions and the ACLT proxy generates similar results. Accordingly, we postulate that the average chain length of plant waxes might be a potential indicator of plant classification in regions such as the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

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Soil respiration in typical plant communities in the wetland surrounding the high-salinity Ebinur Lake
Yanhong LI, Mingliang ZHAO, Fadong LI
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 611-624.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0687-y
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Soil respiration in wetlands surrounding lakes is a vital component of the soil carbon cycle in arid regions. However, information remains limited on the soil respiration around highly saline lakes during the plant growing season. Here, we aimed to evaluate diurnal and seasonal variation in soil respiration to elucidate the controlling factors in the wetland of Ebinur Lake, Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, western China. We used a soil carbon flux automatic analyzer (LI-840A) to measure soil respiration rates during the growing season (April to November) in two fields covered by reeds and tamarisk and one field with no vegetation (bare soil) from 2015 to 2016. The results showed a single peak in the diurnal pattern of soil respiration from 11:00 to 17:00 for plots covered in reeds, tamarisk, and bare soil, with minimum values being detected from 03:00 to 07:00. During the growing season, the soil respiration of reeds and tamarisk peaked during the thriving period (4.16 and 3.75 mmol·m2·s1, respectively), while that of bare soil peaked during the intermediate growth period (0.74 mmol·m2·s1). The soil respiration in all three plots was lowest during the wintering period (0.08, 0.09, and −0.87 mmol·m2·s1, respectively). Air temperature and relative humidity significantly influenced soil respiration. A significant linear relationship was detected between soil respiration and soil temperature for reeds, tamarisk, and bare soil. The average Q10 of reeds and tamarisk were larger than that of bare soil. However, soil moisture content was not the main factor controlling soil respiration. Soil respiration was negatively correlated with soil pH and soil salinity in all three plot types. In contrast, soil respiration was positively correlated with organic carbon. Overall, CO2 emissions and greenhouse gases had a relatively weak effect on the wetlands surrounding the highly saline Ebinur Lake.

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Numerical simulation of hydrodynamic and water quality effects of shoreline changes in Bohai Bay
Han JIA, Yongming SHEN, Meirong SU, Chunxue YU
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 625-639.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0688-x
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This study uses the HD and Ecolab modules of MIKE to simulate the hydrodynamic and water quality and predict the influence of shoreline changes in Bohai Bay, China. The study shows that shoreline changes weaken the residual current and generate a counter-clockwise circulation south of Huanghua Port, thereby resulting in weak water exchange capacity and low pollutant-diffusing capacity. Shoreline changes reduce the area of Bohai Bay, resulting in a smaller tidal prism and further weakening the water exchange capacity. This situation is not conducive to the diffusion of pollutants, and therefore may lead to increased water pollution in the bay. Shoreline changes hinder the spread of runoff, weaken the dilution effect of the river on seawater, and block the spread of coastal residual current, thereby resulting in increased salinity near the reclamation area. Shoreline changes lead to an increase in PO4-P concentration and decrease in DIN concentration. The value of N/P near the project decreases, thereby weakening the phosphorus-limited effect.

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Channel evolution under changing hydrological regimes in anabranching reaches downstream of the Three Gorges Dam
Jianqiao HAN, Wei ZHANG, Jing YUAN, Yongyang FAN
Front. Earth Sci.. 2018, 12 (3): 640-648.  https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-018-0690-3
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Elucidating the influence of dams on fluvial processes can benefit river protection and basin management. Based on hydrological and topographical data, we analyzed channel evolution in anabranching reaches under changing hydrological regimes influenced by the Three Gorges Dam. The main conclusions are as follows: 1) the channels of specific anabranching reaches were defined as flood trend channels or low-flow trend channels according to the distribution of their flow characteristics. The anabranching reaches were classified as T1 or T2. The former is characterized by the correspondence between the flood trend and branch channels, and the latter is characterized by the correspondence between the flood trend and main channels; 2) on the basis of the new classification, the discrepant patterns of channel evolution seen in anabranching reaches were unified into a pattern that showed flood trend channels shrinking and low-flow trend channels expanding; 3) flood abatement and the increased duration of moderate flow discharges are the main factors that affect channel adjustments in anabranching reaches after dam construction; and 4) in the next few decades, the pattern of channel evolution will remain the same as that of the Three Gorges Dam operation. That is, the morphology will fully adapt to a flow with a low coefficient of variation. Our results are of interest in the management of the Yangtze River and other rivers influenced by dams.

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