1 Introduction
Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver (MAFLD), a novel concept proposed by an international consensus in early 2020 [
1], is attracting the attention of many scholars and experts [
2–
6]. Unlike the former diagnostic criteria of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), MAFLD does not need to exclude patients with alcohol intake or other chronic liver diseases [
7], while emphasizing metabolic risk factors [
8]. Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality in patients with fatty liver [
9,
10], placing a huge burden on public health and highlighting the importance to investigate the effect of the new MAFLD definition on cardiovascular disease and related subclinical vascular abnormalities. Arterial stiffness according to an elevated brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) is a predictive marker of CVD [
11], while albuminuria, as an indicator of microvascular abnormality, is related to increased risk of CVD [
12]. The associations of NAFLD with elevated baPWV and albuminuria have been illustrated in several previous studies [
13–
16]. However, the associations of the new definition of MAFLD and the discordant criteria from MAFLD and NAFLD definitions with the risk of new-onset elevated baPWV and albuminuria remain unknown. The effect of MAFLD according to the new definition with diverse fibrosis probability and glycemic status on the risk of new-onset elevated baPWV and albuminuria are also yet to be determined.
In this context, we aimed to examine the risk of MAFLD with different severities on incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria in middle-aged and elderly Chinese population. Furthermore, we focused on the discordant criteria from MAFLD and NAFLD definitions and detected its association with new-onset elevated baPWV and albuminuria.
2 Materials and methods
2.1 Subjects and study design
Participants in the current study were obtained from a prospective cohort study, which was conducted in a community-based population between March and August in 2010 in Jiading District, Shanghai, China. The details of baseline design, recruitment, and demographic characteristics have been published previously [
17]. Between August 2014 and May 2015, all eligible participants were invited to complete a follow-up survey. For current analysis, we sequentially excluded subjects (1) without hepatic ultrasonic examination or laboratory tests at baseline (
n = 246) and (2) without information on both baPWV and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio (ACR;
n = 3735) at baseline and follow-up. A total of 6394 participants were included in the MAFLD analysis. Additionally, 382 participants with missing data on baPWV and 1505 participants with abnormal baPWV (≥ 1773 cm/s) at baseline were further excluded, leaving 4507 participants for the analysis of baPWV, while 111 participants without data on ACR and 399 participants with ACR ≥ 30 mg/g at baseline were excluded to generate the study group of 5884 for the analysis of albuminuria (Fig.1).
The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, and written informed consent was obtained from each participant.
2.2 Data collection
A standard questionnaire on demographic characteristics, education, history of chronic disease and medications, and lifestyle habits was administrated face-to-face by trained investigators. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as the body weight divided by height squared (kg/m2). Waist and hip circumferences were determined using a measuring tape positioned at the midway point between the lateral lower ribs and the iliac crests and at the widest point over the greater trochanters, respectively. Blood pressure was measured using an automated electronic device (OMRON Model HEM-752 FUZZY, Omron Company, Dalian, China), and the three readings of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were averaged for analysis. All participants underwent fasting for at least 10 h, followed by 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT). Biochemical parameters including fasting plasma glucose (FPG), OGTT 2-h plasma glucose (2h-PG), glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein (HDL)-cholesterol, triglycerides, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), γ-glutamyl transferase (GGT), and serum insulin were measured using automated analyzers (Modular P800 and Modular E170; Roche, Basel, Switzerland). Peripheral hematological parameters were measured using an automated cell counter (Hematology analyzer 120; ABX, Montpellier, France). A first-voided, early-morning spot urine sample was obtained to measure urinary albumin (g/L) and creatinine (mmol/L) by using the immunoturbidimetric method (Beijing Atom High-Tech, Beijing, China) and Jaffe’s kinetic method on an automatic analyzer (Hitachi 7600-020, Tokyo, Japan), respectively. For the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, the following equation was used: fasting serum insulin (µIU/mL) × FPG (mmol/L) /22.5.
2.3 Definition of MAFLD, NAFLD, and severity categories
Hepatic ultrasonic examination was operated by two experienced specialists, who were blinded to the clinical characteristics, by using high-resolution B-mode tomographic ultrasound system (Esaote Biomedica SpA, Italy) with a 3.5-MHz probe. An ultrasonographic diagnosis of fatty liver was defined by the presence of at least two of three abnormal findings as follows: (1) diffusely increased echogenicity of the liver relative to the kidney; (2) ultrasound beam attenuation; or (3) poor visualization of intrahepatic structures.
According to the new definition, MAFLD was diagnosed based on a hepatic ultrasonic diagnosed fatty liver and the presence of either overweight/obesity, evidence of metabolic dysregulation, or presence of diabetes [
8]. Metabolic dysregulation was defined as the presence of two or more of the following conditions: (1) waist circumference ≥ 90 cm in men and 80 cm in women; (2) blood pressure ≥ 130/85 mmHg or specific medicine treatment; (3) triglycerides ≥ 1.70 mmol/L or specific medicine treatment; (4) HDL-cholesterol < 1.0 mmol/L for men and < 1.3 mmol/L for women or specific medicine treatment; (5) prediabetes (FPG 5.6 to 6.9 mmol/L, or 2h-PG 7.8 to 11.0 mmol or HbA1c 5.7% to 6.4%); and (6) homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance score ≥ 2.5.
In addition, NAFLD was diagnosed based on hepatic steatosis according to ultrasound examination after excluding alcohol abuse (alcohol consumption ≥ 140 g/week for men or ≥ 70 g/week for women) and other hepatic diseases, such as autoimmune hepatitis, viral hepatitis, and hepatic carcinoma [
18].
According to the concordant or discordant from MAFLD and NAFLD definitions, we divided the included participants into four groups as follows: (1) NAFLD (−) and MAFLD (−) group: individuals without NAFLD or MAFLD; (2) NAFLD (−) and MAFLD (+) group: non-NAFLD individuals who were newly diagnosed according to MAFLD definition; (3) NAFLD (+) and MAFLD (−) group: NAFLD individuals who were reclassified into non-MAFLD group; and (4) NAFLD (+) and MAFLD (+) group: individuals met both MAFLD and NAFLD criteria.
In individuals with MAFLD, hepamet fibrosis score (HFS) was used to evaluate the probability of fibrosis. The score was calculated using the following formula: HFS [
19]: 1/(1 + e
y), where
y = 5.390 – 0.986 × Age (45–64 years of age) – 1.719 × Age (≥ 65 years of age) + 0.875 × Male sex – 0.896 × AST (35−69 IU/L) – 2.126 × AST (≥ 70 IU/L) – 0.027 × Albumin (4–4.49 g/dL) – 0.897 ×Albumin (< 4g/dL) – 0.899 × Homeostatic model assessment (2–3.99 without diabetes) – 1.497 × Homeostatic model assessment (≥ 4 without diabetes) – 2.184 × Diabetes – 0.882 × Platelets ((155–219) × 1000/µL) – 2.233 × Platelets (< 155 × 1000/µL). We considered a low probability of liver fibrosis as HFS < 0.12, a moderate probability as 0.12 ≤ HFS ≤ 0.47, and a high probability as HFS > 0.47 for statistical purposes.
According to the 2010 American Diabetes Association criteria, diabetes at baseline was diagnosed if at least one of the following criteria is met: (1) FPG level of 7 mmol/L or higher; (2) OGTT 2h-PG level of 11.1 mmol/L or higher; (3) HbA1c level of 6.5% or higher; or (4) self-reported diagnosis by professionals.
2.4 Measurements of baPWV and albuminuria
The same method and criteria were used to evaluate elevated baPWV and albuminuria at baseline and follow-up in the population.
baPWV, which indicates the brachial to ankle pulse wave velocity, was measured on a Colin VP-1000 (Model BP203RPE II, form PWV/ankle brachial index) after 10–15 min of rest. Pulse waves were obtained while placing suitable cuffs on the upper sides of both arms and ankles. The value of baPWV was calculated as the transit distance divided by the transit time. We adopted the greater value of bilateral baPWV for analysis at both baseline and follow-up. Individuals who did not have these abnormalities at baseline but occurred during follow-up were defined as new-onset. New-onset elevated baPWV was defined as the upper quartile of baseline baPWV (≥ 1773 cm/s).
Urinary ACR (mg/g) was calculated by dividing the urinary albumin concentration by the urinary creatinine concentration. New-onset albuminuria was defined as ACR ≥ 30 mg/g.
2.5 Statistics analysis
Continuous variables were presented as mean ± standard deviation (SD) or as medians (interquartile ranges). Categorical variables were presented as numbers (percentages). Mean and percentages were compared using one-way ANOVA or χ2 as appropriate. Considering that no interactions were found between sex and MAFLD for the risk of clinical outcomes (all P for interaction > 0.05), pooled analyses were presented. We conducted multivariable logistic regression analysis to explore the associations of MAFLD status with risk of incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria. Moreover, odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for combined NAFLD and MAFLD status in relation to incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria were evaluated with multivariable logistic regression analyses. Notably, NAFLD (+) and MAFLD (−) group was not included in the analysis, because the total number of the group was exceedingly small ( n= 4). Furthermore, we conducted stratified analyses according to the probability of fibrosis and glycemic status. Significance tests were two-tailed, and statistical significance was considered at P < 0.05. All statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute , Cary, North Carolina).
3 Results
3.1 Characteristics of study participants at baseline
NAFLD and MAFLD were observed in 26.8% and 30.6% of the total population (n = 6394), respectively. Participants with overlapping NAFLD and MAFLD accounted for 26.8% of the total population. Non-overlapping NAFLD and MAFLD accounted for 0.06% and 3.80% of the total population, respectively (Fig. S1). The baseline general and clinical characteristics of the participants according to MAFLD status are summarized in Tab.1. Participants with MAFLD status are likely to have higher BMI, waist circumference, hip circumference, SBP, DBP, FPG, 2h-PG, HbA1c, triglycerides, total cholesterol, LDL-cholesterol, ALT, AST, GGT, proportions of diabetes, and antihypertensive medication and lower HDL-cholesterol than those without MAFLD (all P < 0.0001). Notably, participants with MAFLD status had a high level of baPWV and ACR (both P < 0.0001). No significant difference was observed between the two groups in terms of age, sex, education, smoking status, drinking status, insulin use and lipid-lowering medication.
3.2 Baseline MAFLD status in association with incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria
As shown in Tab.2, MAFLD status at baseline was remarkably associated with new-onset elevated baPWV and albuminuria. The incidences of elevated baPWV and albuminuria in MAFLD participants were 20.3% and 11.1%, while those in the non-MAFLD group were 16.1% and 7.4%, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was applied to explore the associations of MAFLD status with the risk of new-onset abnormalities. After adjustments for age, sex, education, smoking status, drinking status, physical activity, BMI, waist circumference, hip circumference, and medication (insulin, antihypertensive medication, and lipid-lowering medication), OR (95% CI) of MAFLD group was 1.25 (95% CI 1.01–1.55) for incident elevated baPWV. Similarly, OR (95% CI) of MAFLD group for new-onset albuminuria was 1.35 (95% CI 1.07–1.70).
3.3 Association of concordant or discordant criteria from MAFLD and NAFLD definitions with incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria
Participants were divided into four groups according to the NAFLD and MAFLD status. Considering that the NAFLD (+) and MAFLD (−) group only had four participants, this group was not included in this analysis. Overall, participants in the NAFLD (+) and MAFLD (+) group were associated with higher risk of new-onset elevated baPWV and albuminuria (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.01–1.58; OR 1.35, 95% CI 1.06–1.72; respectively). Notably, the NAFLD (−) and MAFLD (+) group comprised 3.9% of participants, which were associated with a 77% higher risk of incident albuminuria (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.07–2.94) (Tab.3). Furthermore, we investigated the characteristics according to the presence of NAFLD in MAFLD participants and explored the associations of diverse alcohol intake with new-onset albuminuria in MAFLD participants, and the results are shown in Tables S1 and S2.
3.4 Risks of incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria according to MAFLD with subtypes of fibrosis probability
We further investigated the associations of diverse probability of liver fibrosis with new-onset elevated baPWV and albuminuria (Fig.2). After multivariable adjustment, we observed that higher HFS was associated with higher risk of incident elevated baPWV in MAFLD participants compared with non-MAFLD individuals (OR 2.41, 95% CI 1.15–5.08). However, this relationship was not observed between HFS and new-onset albuminuria. In comparison with non-MAFLD participants, with the increasement of HFS in MAFLD participants, the risk of new-onset albuminuria increased, but the change was not significant (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.03–1.72 for MAFLD participants with HFS < 0.12; OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.02–2.14 for MAFLD participants with HFS of 0.12–0.47; OR 1.91, 95% CI 0.98–3.72 for MAFLD participants with HFS > 0.47, respectively).
3.5 Risks of incident elevated baPWV and albuminuria according to MAFLD with subtypes of glycemic status
As shown in Fig.3, compared with the non-MAFLD participants, MAFLD participants with diabetes and HbA1c ≥ 7.0% had a 192% higher risk of incident elevated baPWV (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.94–4.40) and 166% higher risk of albuminuria (OR 2.66, 95% CI 1.78–3.99) after adjusting for age, sex, current smoking, current drinking, education, physical activity, BMI, waist circumference, hip circumference, and medications. Furthermore, MAFLD participants with diabetes and HbA1c < 7.0% were associated with higher risk of new-onset albuminuria (OR 1.61, 95% CI 1.12–2.33).
4 Discussion
Based on this prospective study, MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of elevated baPWV and albuminuria independently of BMI, waist circumference, and hip circumference, which were very important and independent determinants of the cardiometabolic risk [
20]. In addition, participants without NAFLD but diagnosed with MAFLD according to the new definition had a significantly higher risk of albuminuria, suggesting that the novel criteria of MAFLD was a more practical definition for detecting participants with fatty liver at high risk of microvascular abnormality. Moreover, stratified analyses of the data indicated that MAFLD participants with higher HFS or poor glycemic control are likely to develop elevated baPWV and albuminuria. To the best of our knowledge, this prospective study was the first to investigate the associations of MAFLD status and its discordance from NAFLD with long-term risk of subclinical atherosclerosis.
Several previous studies have widely illustrated the associations between former NAFLD definition and elevated baPWV and albuminuria [
21–
23]. However, limited studies have focused on the effect of MAFLD assessed by the new definition on the abnormal subclinical vascular markers. A prospective cohort study conducted by Liu
et al. [
24] demonstrated that participants with MAFLD were associated with an increased risk of CVD and renal diseases. Consistent with this previous study, we found that MAFLD was associated with higher risk of subclinical atherosclerosis indicated by elevated baPWV and albuminuria. Notably, this association was independent of BMI, waist circumference, and hip circumference. Although obesity and central obesity were important features and diagnostic criteria of the definition of MAFLD, the effect of liver fat deposition on subclinical atherosclerosis was independent of the obesity condition and fat distribution phenotypes. This result indicates the urgent need to identify participants with increased metabolic dysregulation in normal weight. Furthermore, the name changing from former NAFLD to the newly proposed MAFLD have stimulated a heated discussion. A cross-sectional study conducted by Lin
et al. [
25] in 13 083 subjects from the general population enrolled in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey of the United States (NHANES III) compared the characteristics of participants with NAFLD versus MAFLD. Results show that the individuals with NAFLD but without MAFLD were younger, had less frequently metabolic abnormality, and non-invasively assessed liver fibrosis. More recently, Lee
et al. [
26] observed that NAFLD not meeting metabolic abnormality was associated with “healthier” characteristics and lower CVD risk compared with MAFLD based on a nationwide study of 9 million middle-aged Koreans. The results are possibly associated with the presence of metabolically healthy fatty liver, mostly related to risk alleles in PNPLA3 and TM6SF2, which are strongly associated with protective effect for CVD [
27]. However, the effect of discordance between the two definitions of fatty liver on the risk of incident subclinical vascular abnormalities is unknown. Considering that the present study involved middle-aged and elderly population with high probability of metabolic dysregulation, few participants are involved in the NAFLD without metabolic abnormality group. Notably, participants who met the diagnostic criteria of MAFLD but not NAFLD comprised 3.9% of the total population, showing a significantly higher risk of new-onset albuminuria. This finding consolidated the clinical applicability of the new MAFLD definition, indicating that the NAFLD-to-MAFLD change enhanced the ability to capture and identify individuals at risk for microvascular abnormality.
Advanced fibrosis, which is measured by non-invasive liver fibrosis score, is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with NAFLD [
28]. By using the newly proposed criteria of MAFLD, Yamamura
et al. [
29] compared the diagnostic accuracy of MAFLD with NAFLD to identify the probability of liver fibrosis in Japanese participants, and the results showed that MAFLD performed better than NAFLD in identifying advanced fibrosis. In line with the previous cross-sectional findings, we also detected that MAFLD participants with high probability of fibrosis evaluated by HFS conferred higher risks of elevated baPWV. Our findings emphasized the need to detect and manage the cardiovascular-related risk at the early stage of MAFLD. Furthermore, the newly proposed criteria of MAFLD have emphasized diabetes as one of three important facets, indicating that MAFLD participants with diabetes should be paid more attention. In the present study, MAFLD patients with poorly controlled diabetes showed high risk of elevated baPWV and albuminuria, which were surrogate indicators for subclinical atherosclerosis. Our results highlighted the importance of stringent glycemic control specifically for MAFLD participants.
Several limitations need to be considered. First, the study was performed in a middle-aged and elderly Chinese population, which could not represent the general population. Second, hepatic ultrasound was used to diagnose liver steatosis, but not the liver biopsy. Finally, considering that high-sensitivity C-creative protein level is a metabolic risk abnormality, it was not measured in our study.
In conclusion, MAFLD was associated with an increased risk of elevated baPWV and albuminuria independently of BMI, waist circumference, and hip circumference. Our findings suggest that the diagnostic criteria of MAFLD was a more practical definition in identifying high risk of microvascular abnormality in participants with fatty liver than NAFLD. Further and more prospective studies with a wider age range are needed to further clarify the associations between MAFLD and subclinical atherosclerosis.