Determination of the principal factors of river water quality through cluster analysis method and its prediction

Liang GUO, Ying ZHAO, Peng WANG

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Front. Environ. Sci. Eng. All Journals
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Front. Environ. Sci. Eng. ›› 2012, Vol. 6 ›› Issue (2) : 238-245. DOI: 10.1007/s11783-011-0382-7
RESEARCH ARTICLE
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Determination of the principal factors of river water quality through cluster analysis method and its prediction

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Abstract

In this paper, an artificial neural network model was built to predict the Chemical Oxygen Demand (CODMn) measured by permanganate index in Songhua River. To enhance the prediction accuracy, principal factors were determined through the analysis of the weight relation between influencing factors and forecasting object using cluster analysis method, which optimized the topological structure of the prediction model input items of the artificial neural network. It was shown that application of the principal factors in water quality prediction model can improve its forecasting skill significantly through the comparison between results of prediction by artificial neural network and the measurements of the CODMn. This methodology is also applicable to various water quality prediction targets of other water bodies and it is valuable for theoretical study and practical application.

Keywords

water quality forecast / principal factor / cluster analysis method / artificial neural network

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Liang GUO, Ying ZHAO, Peng WANG. Determination of the principal factors of river water quality through cluster analysis method and its prediction. Front Envir Sci Eng, 2012, 6(2): 238‒245 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11783-011-0382-7
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Acknowledgements

This research was supported by the National Science Foundation for Young Scholars of China (No.71003031), and State Key Laboratory of Urban Water Resource and Environment (HIT).

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2014 Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg
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