A hybrid prediction model based on decomposition algorithm and sample entropy-weighted attention mechanism for mobile robot agricultural environment monitoring
A hybrid prediction model based on decomposition algorithm and sample entropy-weighted attention mechanism for mobile robot agricultural environment monitoring
1. Institute of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics (IAIR), Key Laboratory of Traffic Safety on Track of Ministry of Education, School of Traffic & Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha 410075, Hunan, China
2. Dundee International Institute of Central South University, Changsha 410075, Hunan, China
csuliuhui@csu.edu.cn
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2025-07-23
2025-11-03
2026-01-22
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Abstract
The accumulation and spread of agricultural environmental pollutants pose a serious threat to the ecological environment and crop growth. Accurately predicting changes in pollutant concentrations is of great significance for achieving sustainable agricultural development. In response to the challenges of predicting pollutant concentrations in agricultural environments, this paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning model. The variational mode decomposition algorithm is used to process raw data, reducing nonlinearity and enhancing feature distinguishability. A double-layer attention mechanism based on sample entropy evaluates sub-sequences and focuses on key regions, further improving the predictive performance of the model. Finally, a long short-term memory neural network is used to obtain prediction results. In time series prediction experiments involving multiple pollutants, the proposed method demonstrated the needed stability and accuracy. Experimental results indicate that, compared to existing methods, this approach achieves a minimum improvement of 4.8% in mean absolute error and 23.5% in mean absolute percentage error for predicting concentrations of three pollutants. Also, the root mean square error of predictions is reduced by up to 29.1%. This study provides reliable technical support for agricultural environmental pollutant monitoring. With mean absolute errors of 5.92, 6.85, and 2.38 for CO, non-methane hydrocarbons and NO2 predictions respectively, it accurately predicts pollutant variation risks. In the future, it can be deployed on mobile robot platforms to achieve automatic monitoring and early warning, thereby promoting the development of smart agriculture.
Jiangxun LIU, Zijun LIU, Hui LIU.
A hybrid prediction model based on decomposition algorithm and sample entropy-weighted attention mechanism for mobile robot agricultural environment monitoring.
ENG. Agric., 2026, 13(4): 26674 DOI:10.15302/J-FASE-2026674
With global population growth and climate change, agricultural production is facing increasingly severe environmental challenges. Soil degradation, water pollution and the spread of air pollutants are among the challenges to be addressed. These pollutants not only threaten crop yields and food safety but may also pose risks to human health. Therefore, achieving real-time, precise monitoring of agricultural environment pollution and predictive prevention and control of pollution have become key research priorities. Standard agricultural environment monitoring methods typically rely on manual sampling and laboratory analysis, which are characterized by low efficiency, high costs and insufficient spatiotemporal resolution, making them inadequate to meet the needs of sustainable agricultural development in the modern era.
In recent years, the integration of robotics and environmental monitoring has brought new solutions to the field. Intelligent robots equipped with multimodal sensors can autonomously or semi-autonomously perform pollutant detection tasks, enabling high-throughput, in-situ detection of pollutants. Lu and Han[1] designed a cooperative receding horizon temporal logic control approach for mobile robot networks to address environmental monitoring issues. Notomista et al.[2] proposed a control theory method for trajectory optimization of mobile robots in environmental monitoring, enabling continuous environmental monitoring. Wu et al.[3] studied a robotic wireless monitoring system based on wireless communication technology and intelligent control technology, achieving real-time monitoring and centralized remote control of underwater debris removal.
In agricultural environments, the dynamic changes in pollutants and their ecological impacts exhibit high complexity and uncertainty. Existing environment monitoring methods primarily rely on post-event detection, which can identify current pollution levels but struggle to provide timely warnings of potential risks, leading to delayed pollution control measures. In recent years, many studies have utilized machine learning methods based on historical data and real-time monitoring information to predict the diffusion trends and cumulative effects of pollutants. Chen et al.[4] combined a deep learning model based on residual neural network, spatiotemporal attention mechanism and convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks to extract spatiotemporal correlations in feature sequences for accurate prediction of future pollutant concentrations. Liu et al.[5] established a hybrid prediction model using information gain, wavelet decomposition transformation technology and long short-term memory neural network, achieving higher prediction accuracy and stability for future atmospheric pollutant concentrations. Zhang et al.[6] used residual neural network to deeply extract spatial distribution features of pollutant concentrations and meteorological data, and convolutional long short-term memory network to further extract preliminary spatial distribution features, thereby accurately predicting PM2.5 concentrations over a period of time. Bai et al.[7] developed a new deterministic and interval prediction system for pollutant concentrations, which can provide effective interval predictions for air pollutant concentrations. However, the aforementioned methods are susceptible to noise interference during data processing, and the decomposition results exhibit poor interpretability. Therefore, this paper adopts variational mode decomposition as the data preprocessing method, which enables clear, adaptive separation of modes in the frequency domain and avoids the issue of mode confusion.
For time series with highly nonlinear characteristics, the predictive performance of single models often fails to meet the demands of practical engineering applications. Most studies combine data preprocessing, decomposition algorithms, and optimization algorithms to further enhance model performance. Among these, the attention mechanism enables neural networks to focus on relevant parts of the input data during processing. By incorporating the attention mechanism, neural networks can automatically learn and selectively focus on important information in the input, thereby improving model performance and generalization capabilities. Li et al.[8] proposed a model based on big data association principles and deep learning technology, using spatiotemporal attention and temporal self-attention to improve the accuracy of pollutant concentration predictions. Wan et al.[9] incorporated the attention mechanism into a hybrid model, proposing a method for predicting pollutant emissions from combined heat and power systems. An et al.[10] proposed a convolutional neural network and bidirectional long short-term memory model that integrates spatiotemporal attention mechanism and residual learning, demonstrating strong predictive performance. However, all these methods fail to account for high-efficiency attention analysis under high-latitude data input conditions and neglect the inherent information within the time series itself. Consequently, this paper proposes an attention mechanism based on information entropy weighting.
The integration of predictive research with technologies such as intelligent robots can establish a closed-loop system of monitoring-prediction-decision-making, driving the development of smart agriculture. By integrating preprocessing and decomposition methods, attention mechanisms and neural networks to construct hybrid models, and deploying them on mobile robots, autonomous monitoring and predictive control of agricultural environmental pollutants can be achieved. Wang et al.[11] used fully integrated empirical mode decomposition and variational mode decomposition with adaptive noise to perform a secondary decomposition of time series, effectively improving the prediction accuracy of air pollutant concentrations. Xiao et al.[12] developed an adaptive decomposition and integrated model combining independent component analysis, demonstrating the outstanding performance of decomposition methods in early warning of harmful pollutants. Existing research has demonstrated that decomposition algorithms have a satisfactory effect on improving model prediction performance. However, the selection of neural network models is crucial. Wang et al.[13] proposed a multilayer perceptron model based on wavelet decomposition to extract non-stationarity and nonlinear dependencies in time series. Wang et al.[14] used a long short-term memory artificial neural network optimized by the grey wolf optimization algorithm for prediction and modeling, with this hybrid framework serving as an effective tool for air pollutant prediction and early warning. Given the superior performance and low computational cost of long short-term memory neural networks in achieving real-time monitoring and prediction, they have been selected as the neural network model used.
In summary, although scholars have achieved useful results in predicting agricultural environment pollutants, there is still room for exploration in high-precision prediction hybrid models based on mobile robots in complex environments. This study proposes an improved deep learning model for predicting agricultural pollutants, including a variational mode decomposition algorithm, a double-layer attention mechanism (DLAM) with sample entropy (SE) weighting and a long short-term memory neural network. There are three main contributions of this study.
We propose a novel hybrid deep learning model, the long short-term memory neural network based on variational mode decomposition and double-layer attention mechanism with sample entropy weighting (VMD-SE-DLAM-LSTM). By integrating variational mode decomposition for data processing and attention mechanisms for feature processing into a long short-term memory neural network, this constitutes, to our knowledge, an innovative architecture for high-precision forecasting of agricultural environmental pollutant concentrations.
We propose an attention mechanism based on sample entropy weighting. For the decomposed feature subsequences, to select subsequences with higher information value, we calculate their sample entropy and apply weighting, enabling the model to focus more on the critical parts of data features, reduce redundant information interference, and make the learning and prediction of pollutant sequences more efficient.
Experimental results on the UCI air quality dataset for three pollutants demonstrate the superior performance of the proposed method, enabling accurate monitoring of agricultural environments and showcasing its potential for application on mobile robots.
2 Methodology
2.1 Variational mode decomposition
Variational mode decomposition (VMD) is a signal decomposition estimation method[15]. VMD determines the frequency center and bandwidth of each component by iteratively searching for the optimal solution of the variational mode during the decomposition process, thereby enabling adaptive frequency domain partitioning of the signal and effective separation of each component[16,17].
Assuming that the original signal is decomposed into components , ensuring that the decomposition sequence is a finite bandwidth modal component with a center frequency, and that the sum of the estimated bandwidths of each mode is minimized, with the constraint that the sum of all modes is equal to the original signal, then the constrained variational expression is:
By solving this constrained variational expression, the constrained variational problem is transformed into an unconstrained variational problem, obtaining the augmented Lagrange expression:
Parameter values are updated iteratively according to the following equations. When the component satisfies , the solution is complete.
The mode number K and penalty factor a constitute critical parameters for VMD, necessitating their optimization during decomposition. To address this, MATLAB intelligent algorithms are used for parameter optimization, enabling adaptive decomposition of time series while mitigating the impact of subjective choices on decomposition robustness. This paper introduces envelope entropy as an evaluation criterion to guide VMD parameter optimization, calculated as:
where, , is the number of sampling points, is the Hilbert-demodulated envelope of , and is the normalized form of . The average value of the envelope entropy for each decomposed modal component serves as the fitness function, calculated as:
2.2 Double-layer attention mechanism based on sample entropy weighting
Sample entropy is a statistical measure proposed by Richman and Moorman[18] that improves upon the approximate entropy algorithm by not counting self-matches. Sample entropy is currently one of the most widely used methods for calculating entropy feature values. Sample entropy is also a measure of time series complexity, the smaller the sample entropy, the lower the time complexity and the higher the self-similarity. The pseudo-code shown in below:
Step 1: The time series is defined as .
Step 2: Iterate through all combinations of and , where ranges from 1 to , excluding cases where and are equal. There are a total of combinations. In this case, is a window and is the sequence length.
Step 3: Let the ratio of the approximate number to the total number be denoted by . Note that the total number at this point is .
Step 4: Find .
Step 5: Increase the dimension by to , repeat the above steps, and obtain .
Step 6: The sample entropy of the signal sequence is obtained as .
The higher entropy values calculated for subsequences in the aforementioned process indicate greater complexity and potentially richer information content. We use sample entropy as prior knowledge, modulating the weighting coefficients for subsequence decomposition through elementwise multiplication. Compared to existing attention mechanisms in models such as Transformers, our introduction of an unsupervised, information-theoretic metric as prior knowledge effectively complements data-driven methods. Also, this achieves enhanced model performance at a reduced computational cost. Weighted processing of obtained for time series .
Feature map is transformed to obtain feature map , defined as:
where, is the learned filter kernel, and is the convolution operation.
Then, to solve the dependency problem, global spatial information is compressed into a channel descriptor, which allows the generated data to contain contextual information, as:
Among them, and are the two dimension values of the feature map.
Then, a gate mechanism consisting of two fully connected layers is used to obtain the weights , and the attention weights are weighted to the feature entropy in front to obtain the final output .
Next, the feature map of the first layer of attention is used to generate two-dimensional vectors through maximum pooling and average pooling, respectively. The obtained feature maps are superimposed to form a new feature map, which is then converted through a convolution layer, and the spatial weights are output by the activation function.
where, is the sigmoid function, is the convolution operation with a convolution kernel size of , is the output feature map and is the division of the input feature map into a grid of points, each of which has a feature value. The overall structure is shown in Fig. 1.
2.3 Long short-term memory neural network
Long short-term memory neural networks[19,20] are special recurrent networks that are particularly well-suited for processing sequential data. LSTM was explicitly designed to address the issue of long-term dependencies, successfully overcoming the limitations of the original recurrent neural networks and has become the most widely used recurrent neural network today, with successful applications in many fields such as speech recognition, time series prediction, and natural language processing. In addition, compared to methods such as BiLSTM[21,22], LSTM can perform prediction tasks while avoiding leakage of future information, and exhibit lower computational costs and latency.
LSTM introduces input gates, forget gates, output gates and a cell state, which enable it to better handle long-term dependencies in sequences. The LSTM structure is shown in Fig. 2.
Forget gate: Through the operations of and , and after passing through the sigmoid function, a vector of 0 and 1 is obtained, where 0 represents that a certain part of the previous memory should be forgotten and 1 represents that the previous memory should be retained.
Input gate: By adding the information that needed to be retained previously to the information that needs to be remembered now, a new memory state is obtained.
Output gate: Integrate to obtain an output.
2.4 Hybrid model framework
The structure and hyperparameter information of the proposed VMD-SE-DLAM-LSTM hybrid model are given in Fig. 3 and Fig. 4, and Table 1.
3 Experiments and results
3.1 Dataset
This study used experimental time series data on CO, non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHC) and NO2 from the UCI air quality dataset[23] to validate the effectiveness of the proposed model. The dataset contained 9,358 hourly average responses from five metal oxide chemical sensor arrays embedded in air quality chemical multi-sensor devices. The device was located in a field within a severely polluted area of an Italian city. The recorded data spanned from March 2004 to February 2005, representing the longest recorded response of the air quality chemical sensor device deployed at the site. Sensor data exhibits missing values, which were reconstructed for this study using a time-series-based linear interpolation method. Then, we normalized the data by applying min-max normalization to map it to the range [0, 1], thereby eliminating the effects of differing scales and units of measurement[24]. The hourly average concentrations of CO, NMHC, benzene, total nitrogen oxides and NO2 were provided by a reference certified analyzer located at the same site. The data used in this paper was presented in Table 2 and Figs. 5–7. The dataset was partitioned into a 70% training set and a 30% testing set. The framework code is run on a Windows 11 operating system, Intel Core i5-12600KF CPU, Nvidia GeForce RTX 3060 and Pycharm 2021.
3.2 Performance evaluation metrics
The four primary evaluation metrics used in this study to assess the predictions obtained include the mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean square percentage error (MSPE), root mean square error (RMSE) and R2, with the calculation formula being[25,26]:
where, is the sample size, is the actual value, and is the predicted value. RMSE, MAE, MSPE, and MAPE are inversely proportional to prediction accuracy, and R2 is directly proportional to prediction accuracy.
3.3 Model evaluation
To demonstrate the capability of the proposed model in predicting agricultural environment pollutants, we selected standard models, including ARIMA[27], recurrent neural network[28], one-dimensional convolutional neural network[29], support vector machine[30], deep belief network[31], state-of-the-art models including gated recurrent unit[32], Maity et al.[33] designed the state-of-the-art machine learning method MLSFDD and Das et al.[34] proposed the AQMS model for comparison. Additionally, to validate the effectiveness of the modules designed in this study, ablation experiments were conducted on the decomposition algorithm and attention mechanism and compared with the proposed model.
3.3.1 Model performance comparison
ARIMA is a model based on autoregressive and moving average time series analysis, which uses a linear combination of past observations to predict future values. The recurrent neural network is a deep learning model used to learn temporal features, where units are connected in a long chain and evolve recursively in a sequential manner. CNN uses the capabilities of convolutional kernels to sense changes in historical data over a period of time and make predictions. A support vector machine is a standard supervised learning algorithm. A deep belief network is a generative model composed of stacked layers of restricted Boltzmann machines, capable of capturing high-level abstract features in data and demonstrating strong representational capabilities for complex data structures. The gated recurrent unit model introduces a gating mechanism to address the gradient vanishing and explosion issues in existing recurrent neural networks and provides an effective means of capturing long-term dependencies.
Through experimental comparison and analysis, as shown in Figs. 8-10, it was found that our proposed method achieved the best performance in predicting the concentrations of three pollutants: CO, NMHC and NO2. Compared with standard models, the prediction correlation R2 of the proposed model reached 0.62, 0.76 and 0.65, respectively. The RMSE, MAE, MAPE and MSPE evaluation metrics are generally lower than those models, proving that the VMD-SE-DLAM-LSTM model has better stability and more accurate prediction capabilities. As shown in Table 3, the reduction in MAE was particularly pronounced, with MAE values of 5.92, 6.85 and 2.38, representing reductions of 4.8% to 59.5%. When compared with the state-of-the-art models, our proposed model outperforms the best-performing gated recurrent unit model by 6.9%, 10.1%, and 4.8% in the R2 metric. Also, the computational complexity of the VMD algorithm is per iteration, while that of SE-DLAM is , where is the number of modes, is the sequence length, and is the feature dimension. It is evident that the computational complexity of both modules falls within an acceptable range, rendering them feasible for practical applicability. Our proposed model has a significant advantage in pollutant concentration prediction and can be integrated into mobile robots for agricultural environment monitoring and early warning.
3.3.2 Comparison of decomposition algorithms
To validate the contribution of the variational mode decomposition method selected in this study to the predictive performance of the model, we designed multiple ablation experiments, using different decomposition algorithms to process the original data, to highlight the importance of the variational mode decomposition method. This paper selected empirical mode decomposition[35], wavelet packet decomposition[36], and local mean decomposition[37] for experimental comparison and analysis, with the results shown in the Table 4 and Figs. 11-13. It can be seen that the VMD method used has the most significant effect on improving the prediction performance of the model. For the CO pollutant, the prediction error is significantly reduced, with the R2 metric improving by 12.7% to 29.2%. Table 4 indicates that the VMD-SE-DLAM-LSTM method achieved error metrics of 3.02, 5.92, 0.50, and 1.73, respectively, with maximum error reductions of 24.9%, 2.0%, 32.4% and 19.9%. For the NMHC pollutant, the model using the VMD algorithm achieved the best performance, with RMSE, MAE, MAPE, MSPE, and R2 reaching 10.51, 6.85, 0.62, 0.09 and 0.76, respectively. For the NO2 pollutant, the local mean decomposition method performed the worst, while empirical mode decomposition and wavelet packet decomposition had similar effects, and the VMD method achieved the best prediction correlation at 0.65. In summary, the time series prediction experiments for the three pollutants demonstrated that the VMD algorithm used in this study has a unique benefit in enhancing pollutant prediction capabilities.
3.3.3 Comparison of attention mechanisms
To validate the contribution of the proposed attention mechanism with sample entropy weighting in predicting agricultural environment pollutants, this was compared with other attention mechanisms, including the channel attention mechanism[38] and the spatial attention mechanism[39]. The results are given in Table 5 and Figs. 14–16.
Ablation experiments with different decomposition algorithms demonstrated that the VMD algorithm is crucial in the proposed framework. Therefore, we conducted ablation experiments on different attention mechanisms based on VMD-LSTM. Channel attention mechanism, spatial attention mechanism and the attention mechanism designed in this study can all improve the prediction performance of the model to a certain extent. Of these, the spatial attention mechanism outperformed the channel attention mechanism, improving the prediction correlation of CO, NMHC and NO2 by 11.1%, 5.7%, and 11.3%, respectively. The SE-DLAM gave optimal performance, achieving RMSE, MAE, MAPE, MSPE and R2 values of 10.51, 6.85, 0.62, 0.09 and 0.76, respectively, for NMHC. In summary, the double-layer attention mechanism based on sample entropy weighting maximizes model performance and can be applied within the framework.
4 Conclusions
This paper proposes a novel hybrid deep learning model for predicting the concentration of agricultural environment pollutants and has demonstrated its feasibility for implementation on mobile robots for automatic monitoring and early warning.
Comparison of experimental results showed that the proposed VMD-SE-DLAM-LSTM model performed the best, achieving competitive performance compared to standard and state-of-the-art models. The VMD algorithm effectively enhances the predictive performance of the model, achieving lower nonlinearity and more distinct features in the decomposed subsequences compared to other decomposition algorithms. The sample entropy-weighted double-layer attention mechanism proposed significantly enhances pollutant prediction performance by evaluating the feature value of decomposed subsequences and identifying key regions, enabling the model to more easily learn the latent features in the data. The VMD-SE-DLAM-LSTM model achieved high-quality results in time series prediction experiments for three pollutants, demonstrating its stability, accuracy and versatility. In the future, it can be deployed in mobile robots for automatic monitoring and early warning research in agricultural environments. However, this study has its limitation and there is a need for careful evaluation of some practical challenges, including as sensor noise, missing data and communication delays. Subsequent work will use model distillation, edge computing development, the introduction of varying degrees of noise and delay compensation techniques to further enhance the reliability and robustness of agricultural environmental pollutant concentration predictions.
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