BUILDING CLIMATE-RESILIENT FOOD SYSTEMS IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA: VULNERABILITIES, RESPONSES AND FINANCING
Yunyi ZHOU, Ziqi CHEN, Kevin Z. CHEN
BUILDING CLIMATE-RESILIENT FOOD SYSTEMS IN EAST AND SOUTHEAST ASIA: VULNERABILITIES, RESPONSES AND FINANCING
● Food systems in East and Southeast Asia are vulnerable to global warming.
● Regional governments strive for adaption, mitigation and financing for climate resilience.
● Vulnerabilities of food system actors and activities exacerbate the challenges faced.
● Agriculture-specific goals, climate-smart agriculture and market integration are key to building climate resilience.
Food system resilience to climate change is uniquely imperative for bringing Sustainable Development Goals within reach and leaving no one behind. Food systems in East and Southeast Asia are interacting with planetary boundaries and are adversely affected by extreme weather-related events. A practical question for East and Southeast Asian stakeholders is how to foster climate-resilient food systems in the face of lingering food system vulnerabilities and policy gaps. This paper reviews food system vulnerabilities and policy responses to climate change. In the policy-based review, this paper compares the economy-wide and agriculture-specific targets of low-carbon development across East and Southeast Asia. With China and member states of the Association of Southeast Asia Nations as case studies, multilevel policies in building and financing climate-resilient food systems are further synthesized. The findings confirm significant differences in agriculture-specific emission goals and public financing supports across East and Southeast Asian nations. With an objective to break practical barriers and finance climate-resilient food systems for the future, this paper recommends defining agriculture-specific greenhouse gas emission goals, reorienting the public finance scheme and enhancing mechanisms for the synergy of public and private resources.
food systems / climate change / East / policy / resilience and Southeast Asia
[1] |
United Nations. Transforming Our World: The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. New York: United Nations, 2015
|
[2] |
Eckstein D, Künzel V, Schäfer L, Winges M. Global Climate Risk Index 2020. Bonn: Germanwatch, 2019
|
[3] |
World Bank. World Bank Open Data. World Bank, 2022. Available at World Bank website on February 26, 2023
|
[4] |
Chen K, Zhan Y. East and Southeast Asia Regional Chapter in 2022 Global Food Policy Report. Washington DC: International Food and Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), 2022
|
[5] |
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). The State of Food and Agriculture (SOFA) 2021: Making Agri-Food Systems More Resilient to Shocks and Stresses. Rome: FAO, 2021
|
[6] |
Birthal P S, Joshi P K, Roy D, Pandey G. Transformation and Sources of Growth in Southeast Asian agriculture. Washington DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), 2019
|
[7] |
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Crop Prospects and Food Situation—Quarterly Global Report No. 2. Rome: FAO, 2022
|
[8] |
Redfern S K, Azzu N, Binamira J S. Rice in Southeast Asia: facing risks and vulnerabilities to respond to climate change. In: Meybeck A, Lankoski J, Redfern S, Azzu N, Gitz V, eds. Building Resilience for Adaptation to Climate Change in the Agriculture Sector: Proceedings of a Joint FAO/OECD Workshop. Rome: FAO, OECD, 2012
|
[9] |
Mosnier A, Springmann M, Fan S. Transforming Food Systems. Nairobi: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), 2022
|
[10] |
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). The Future of Food and Agriculture—Alternative Pathways to 2050. Rome: FAO, 2018
|
[11] |
Menegat S, Ledo A, Tirado R. Greenhouse gas emissions from global production and use of nitrogen synthetic fertilisers in agriculture. Scientific Reports, 2022, 12(1): 14490
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[12] |
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Emissions Totals. FAOSTAT, 2023. Available at FAO website on February 26, 2023
|
[13] |
Tendall D M, Joerin J, Kopainsky B, Edwards P, Shreck A, Le Q B, Kruetli P, Grant M, Six J. Food system resilience: defining the concept. Global Food Security, 2015, 6: 17–23
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[14] |
Fan S, Headey D, Rue C, Thomas T. Food systems for human and planetary health: economic perspectives and challenges. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 2021, 13(1): 131–156
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[15] |
Asian Development Bank (ADB). Implementing a Green Recovery in Southeast Asia. Manila: ADB, 2022
|
[16] |
Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Economic Outlook for Southeast Asia, China and India 2022: Financing Sustainable Recovery from COVID-19. Paris: OECD, 2022
|
[17] |
World Bank. Reforms for Recovery: World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update October 2022. Washington DC: World Bank, 2022
|
[18] |
Fan S, Teng P, Chew P, Smith G, Copeland L. Food system resilience and COVID-19—Lessons from the Asian experience. Global Food Security, 2021, 28: 100501
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[19] |
Azhgaliyeva D, Kapoor A, Liu Y. Green bonds for financing renewable energy and energy efficiency in Southeast Asia: a review of policies. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 2020, 10(2): 113–140
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[20] |
Asian Development Bank (ADB). Financing Sustainable and Resilient Food Systems in Asia and the Pacific. Manila: ADB, 2021
|
[21] |
Kimura S, Chen K, Gong B. Circular Agriculture for Sustainable and Low-Carbon Development in the People’s Republic of China. Manila: Asian Development Bank (ADB), 2022
|
[22] |
Pingali P, Abraham M. Food systems transformation in Asia—A brief economic history. Agricultural Economics, 2022, 53(6): 895–910
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[23] |
High Level Panel of Experts on Food Security and Nutrition (HLPE). Food Security and Nutrition: Building a Global Narrative towards 2030. HLPE, 2020. Available at FAO website on February 26, 2023
|
[24] |
United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Nationally Determined Contributions Registry. Bonn: UNFCCC, 2022. Available at UNFCCC website on February 26, 2023
|
[25] |
Pörtner H O, Roberts D C, Tignor M, Poloczanska E S, Mintenbeck K, Alegría A, Craig M, Langsdorf S, Löschke S, Möller V, Okem A, Rama B. Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Geneva: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 2022
|
[26] |
Asian Development Bank (ADB). Key Indicators for Asia and the Pacific 2022. Manila: ADB, 2022
|
[27] |
Asian Development Bank (ADB). Southeast Asia Rising from the Pandemic. Manila: ADB, 2022
|
[28] |
von Grebmer K, Bernstein J, Wiemers M, Schiffer T, Hanano A, Towey O, Chéilleachair R N, Foley C, Gitter S, Ekstrom K, Fritschel H. 2021 Global Hunger Index: Hunger and Food Systems in Conflict Settings. Dublin: Concern Worldwide; Bonn: Welthungerhilfe, 2021
|
[29] |
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). Suite of Food Security Indicators. FAO, 2020. Available at FAO website on February 26, 2023
|
[30] |
World Food Programme (WFP). HungerMap: Asia and the Pacific Insights and Key Trends. Rome: WEP, 2022
|
[31] |
United Nations Development Programme (UNDP). Reducing Inequality in the Decade of Action to Achieve the SDGs and Accelerate Post-Pandemic Recovery. Bangkok: UNDP Bangkok Regional Hub, 2022
|
[32] |
Deaton A. Health, inequality, and economic development. Journal of Economic Literature, 2003, 41(1): 113–158
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[33] |
Chen K Z, Mao R, Zhou Y. Rurbanomics for common prosperity: new approach to integrated urban-rural development. China Agricultural Economic Review, 2023, 15(1): 1–16
|
[34] |
Eckstein D, Künzel V, Schäfer L. Global Climate Risk Index 2021. Who Suffers Most from Extreme Weather Events? Weather-related Loss Events in 2019 and 2000 to 2019. Bonn: Germanwatch, 2021
|
[35] |
Kim H Y, Ko J, Kang S, Tenhunen J. Impacts of climate change on paddy rice yield in a temperate climate. Global Change Biology, 2013, 19(2): 548–562
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[36] |
Yuan S, Stuart A M, Laborte A G, Rattalino Edreira J I, Dobermann A, Kien L V N, Thúy L T, Paothong K, Traesang P, Tint K M, San S S, Villafuerte M Q II, Quicho E D, Pame A R P, Then R, Flor R J, Thon N, Agus F, Agustiani N, Deng N, Li T, Grassini P. Southeast Asia must narrow down the yield gap to continue to be a major rice bowl. Nature Food, 2022, 3(3): 217–226
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[37] |
Nelson G C, Rosegrant M W, Koo J, Robertson R D, Sulser T, Zhu T, Ringler C, Msangi S, Palazzo A, Batka M, Magalhaes M, Valmonte-Santos R, Ewing M, Lee D R. Climate Change: Impact on Agriculture and Costs of Adaptation. Washington DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), 2009
|
[38] |
Ghadge A, Wurtmann H, Seuring S. Managing climate change risks in global supply chains: a review and research agenda. International Journal of Production Research, 2020, 58(1): 44–64
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[39] |
Ratings F. China’s Drought Unlikely to Unsettle Global Rice Markets. Hong Kong: Fitch Ratings, 2022
|
[40] |
Parker L, Bourgoin C, Martinez-Valle A, Läderach P. Vulnerability of the agricultural sector to climate change: the development of a pan-tropical Climate Risk Vulnerability Assessment to inform sub-national decision making. PLoS One, 2019, 14(3): e0213641
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[41] |
Godde C M, Mason-D’Croz D, Mayberry D E, Thornton P K, Herrero M. Impacts of climate change on the livestock food supply chain: a review of the evidence. Global Food Security, 2021, 28: 100488
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[42] |
Wheeler T, von Braun J. Climate change impacts on global food security. Science, 2013, 341(6145): 508–513
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[43] |
Swinnen J, Arndt C, Vos R. Climate change and food systems: transforming food systems for adaptation, mitigation, and resilience. In: Swinnen J, Arndt C, Vos R, eds. 2022 Global Food Policy Report: Climate Change and Food Systems. Washington DC: International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI), 2022
|
[44] |
Solaymani S. Impacts of climate change on food security and agriculture sector in Malaysia. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 2018, 20(4): 1575–1596
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[45] |
Bayudan-Dacuycuy C, Baje L K. When it rains, it pours? Analyzing the rainfall shocks-poverty nexus in the Philippines. Social Indicators Research, 2019, 145(1): 67–93
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[46] |
Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). Agricultural Policy Monitoring and Evaluation 2022. Paris: OECD Publishing, 2022
|
[47] |
Jin S, Zhou F. Zero growth of chemical fertilizer and pesticide use: China’s objectives, progress and challenges. Journal of Resources and Ecology, 2018, 9(1): 50–58
|
[48] |
Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment. Climate Change Master Plan 2015–2050. Bangkok: Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment, 2015. Available at Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment website on February 26, 2023
|
[49] |
Academy of Global Food Economics and Policy (AGFEP). 2021 China and Global Food Policy Report: Rethinking Agrifood Systems for the Post-COVID World. Beijing: AGFEP, 2021
|
[50] |
Fujimori S, Wu W, Doelman J, Frank S, Hristov J, Kyle P, Sands R, van Zeist W J, Havlik P, Domínguez I P, Sahoo A, Stehfest E, Tabeau A, Valin H, van Meijl H, Hasegawa T, Takahashi K. Land-based climate change mitigation measures can affect agricultural markets and food security. Nature Food, 2022, 3(2): 110–121
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[51] |
Hasegawa T, Havlík P, Frank S, Palazzo A, Valin H. Tackling food consumption inequality to fight hunger without pressuring the environment. Nature Sustainability, 2019, 2(9): 826–833
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[52] |
Pozza L, Field D J. The science of soil security and food security. Soil Security, 2020, 1: 100002
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[53] |
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). State of Finance for Nature. Nairobi: UNEP, 2021
|
[54] |
Baker P, Friel S. Food systems transformations, ultra-processed food markets and the nutrition transition in Asia. Globalization and Health, 2016, 12(1): 80
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[55] |
Amanta F A. Can the National Food Agency Strengthen Indonesia’s Food System Governance? Jakarta: The Jakarta Post, 2021. Available at The Jakarta Post website on February 26, 2023
|
[56] |
de Vries M, Pronk A, Adiyoga W. Potential of Reducing GHG Emissions through Improved Nutrient Circularity in Agriculture in West Java. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change; Agriculture & Food Security, 2021
|
[57] |
Barbon W J, Punzalan B, Wassmann R, Vinh B L, Vidallo R, Villanueva J, Talsma T, Bayot R, Gonsalves J. Scaling of Climate-Smart Agriculture via Climate-Smart Villages in Southeast Asia: Insights and Lessons from Vietnam, Laos, the Philippines, Cambodia and Myanmar. Wageningen: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change; Agriculture & Food Security, 2021
|
[58] |
International Finance Corporation (IFC). China Weather Index-Based Insurance Project (China WII). Beijing: International Finance Corporation, the World Bank Group, 2021
|
[59] |
Bastakoti R C, Gupta J, Babel M S, van Dijk M P. Climate risks and adaptation strategies in the Lower Mekong River basin. Regional Environmental Change, 2014, 14(1): 207–219
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[60] |
Weller S, Kraus D, Ayag K R P, Wassmann R, Alberto M C R, Butterbach-Bahl K, Kiese R. Methane and nitrous oxide emissions from rice and maize production in diversified rice cropping systems. Nutrient Cycling in Agroecosystems, 2015, 101(1): 37–53
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[61] |
International Rice Research Institure (IRRI). Going Beyond Rice: Transitioning toward Equitable, Profitable, and Environmentally Sound Rice Agri-food Systems. Laguna: IRRI, 2020
|
[62] |
Bantayan R B, Cadiz M C H, Sajise P E. Learning and Coping with Change: Case Stories of Climate Change Adaptation in Southeast Asia. Laguna: Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA), 2016
|
[63] |
Terano R, Mohamed Z, Shamsudin M N, Latif I. Factors influencing intention to adopt sustainable agriculture practices among paddy farmers in Kada, Malaysia. Asian Journal of Agricultural Research, 2015, 9(5): 268–275
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[64] |
Laosutsan P, Shivakoti G P, Soni P. Factors influencing the adoption of good agricultural practices and export decision of Thailand’s vegetable farmers. International Journal of the Commons, 2019, 13(2): 867–880
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[65] |
The ASEAN Secretariat. Environmental Management Module—Good Agricultural Practices for Production of Fresh Fruits and Vegetables in ASEAN Countries. Jakarta: The ASEAN Secretariat, 2015
|
[66] |
The ASEAN Secretariat. Food Safety in Agri-Products-Enhancing Food Safety through Harmonized Quality Standards. Jakarta: The ASEAN Secretariat, 2015
|
[67] |
Qin Y, Zhang X. The road to specialization in agricultural production: evidence from rural China. World Development, 2016, 77: 1–16
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[68] |
Asian Development Bank (ADB). Fintech and COVID-19: Impacts, Challenges, and Policy Priorities for Asia. Manila: ADB, 2022
|
[69] |
Saner P, Haeni M. Review of the Financial Support to the Implementation of the Convention. Bonn: United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD), 2015
|
[70] |
United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP). The State of Finance for Nature in the G20. Nairobi: UNEP, 2022
|
[71] |
Anantharajah K, Setyowati A B. Beyond promises: realities of climate finance justice and energy transitions in Asia and the Pacific. Energy Research & Social Science, 2022, 89: 102550
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[72] |
World Bank Group. Vietnam Country Climate and Development Report. CCDR Series. Washington DC: World Bank, 2022
|
[73] |
O’callaghan B J, Murdock E. Are we building back better? Geneva: United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), 2021
|
[74] |
Economics O. The Economic Impact of the Agri-food Sector in Southeast Asia. Oxford: Oxford Economics, 2022
|
[75] |
Quatrini S. Challenges and opportunities to scale up sustainable finance after the COVID-19 crisis: lessons and promising innovations from science and practice. Ecosystem Services, 2021, 48: 101240
CrossRef
Pubmed
Google scholar
|
[76] |
Prasad A, Loukoianova E, Feng A X, Oman W. Mobilizing private climate financing in emerging market and developing economies. Washington DC: International Monetary Fund, 2022
|
[77] |
Azhgaliyeva D, Kapsalyamova Z. Policy Support in Promoting Green Bonds in Asia. ADBI Working Paper 1275. Tokyo: Asian Development Bank Institute, 2021
|
[78] |
Pingali P, Abraham M. Food systems transformation in Asia—A brief economic history. Agricultural Economics, 2022, 53(6): 895–910
CrossRef
Google scholar
|
[79] |
Global Market Analysis, Modeling Team. Impacts and Repercussions of Price Increases on the Global Fertilizer Market. United States Department of Agriculture (USDA), 2022
|
/
〈 | 〉 |