A comprehensive comparison of different regression techniques and nature-inspired optimization algorithms to predict carbonation depth of recycled aggregate concrete

Bin XI, Ning ZHANG, Enming LI, Jiabin LI, Jian ZHOU, Pablo SEGARRA

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Front. Struct. Civ. Eng. ›› 2024, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1) : 30-50. DOI: 10.1007/s11709-024-1041-y
RESEARCH ARTICLE

A comprehensive comparison of different regression techniques and nature-inspired optimization algorithms to predict carbonation depth of recycled aggregate concrete

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Abstract

The utilization of recycled aggregates (RA) for concrete production has the potential to offer substantial environmental and economic advantages. However, RA concrete is plagued with considerable durability concerns, particularly carbonation. To advance the application of RA concrete, the establishment of a reliable model for predicting the carbonation is needed. On the one hand, concrete carbonation is a long and slow process and thus consumes a lot of time and energy to monitor. On the other hand, carbonation is influenced by many factors and is hard to predict. Regarding this, this paper proposes the use of machine learning techniques to establish accurate prediction models for the carbonation depth (CD) of RA concrete. Three types of regression techniques and meta-heuristic algorithms were employed to provide more alternative predictive tools. It was found that the best prediction performance was obtained from extreme gradient boosting-multi-universe optimizer (XGB-MVO) with R2 value of 0.9949 and 0.9398 for training and testing sets, respectively. XGB-MVO was used for evaluating physical laws of carbonation and it was found that the developed XGB-MVO model could provide reasonable predictions when new data were investigated. It also showed better generalization capabilities when compared with different models in the literature. Overall, this paper emphasizes the need for sustainable solutions in the construction industry to reduce its environmental impact and contribute to sustainable and low-carbon economies.

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Keywords

recycled aggregate concrete / carbonation depth / nature-inspired optimization algorithms / extreme gradient boosting technique / parametric analysis

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Bin XI, Ning ZHANG, Enming LI, Jiabin LI, Jian ZHOU, Pablo SEGARRA. A comprehensive comparison of different regression techniques and nature-inspired optimization algorithms to predict carbonation depth of recycled aggregate concrete. Front. Struct. Civ. Eng., 2024, 18(1): 30‒50 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11709-024-1041-y

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Acknowledgements

Bin Xi and Enming Li want to acknowledge the funding supported by China Scholarship Council (Nos. 202008440524 and 202006370006). This research was partially supported by the Distinguished Youth Science Foundation of Hunan Province of China (No. 2022JJ10073), the Innovation Driven Project of Central South University (No. 2020CX040) and Shenzhen Science and Technology Plan (No. JCYJ20190808123013260).

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Funding note

Open Access funding provided thanks to the CRUE-CSIC agreement with Springer Nature.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

RIGHTS & PERMISSIONS

2024 The Author(s) 2024. This article is published with open access at link.springer.com and journal.hep.com.cn
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