Starting from February, 2013, avian-origin influenza A (H7N9) virus infection had been prevalent in Eastern China, with a total infected cases of 133 and, among them of 43 deaths as of July 4th (www.who.org), 2013. It has caused serious worrisome concerns about a possible pandemic. This virus is a new reassorted subtype of avian influenza virus to cause human disease, especially this is the first time for a low-pathogenic avian influenza virus to cause a population level infection in humans, though sporadic cases have been reported earlier. Throughout an international collaboration, especially the great efforts from the China side, the disease was quickly conquered after its link with the live poultry markets was confirmed [
1-
4]. A series of scientific reports in a variety of international journals have been made and the event has ever been well described [
5-
10].
In this issue of
Frontiers of Medicine, Chen
et al. described the first fatal case in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province [
11]. This is the first report to compile all the data, from clinical features, epidemiology, especially live poultry market exposure connections, etiology, to diagnosis and clinical treatment, together for a comprehensive analysis. They have made some key conclusions from this case. More importantly, though the patient had some direct contacts, two of them even showed flu-like clinical symptoms, no human-to-human transmission was confirmed as no viral RNA was detected by RT-PCR from the contact samples. Yet, they comprehensively tested over a hundred persons but no positive was observed, neither in the RT-PCR for viral RNA detection nor in the serological tests for antibodies. This again raises the suspicion to human-to-human transmission in spite of the unavailability thus far of confirmed evidence. This is the lucky part of this outbreak. Of course this yet needs to be evaluated in detail in the future.
Data sharing is crucial for our understanding and control of the emerging pathogens. One piece of the data shared in this comprehensive case report is the lesions leant for early diagnosis and antiviral application. In this case the fatal patient had never used influenza-specific antivirals and this led to wide-use of the neuraminidase inhibitor, oseltamivir, for the patients in the later outbreak once the virus infection was confirmed. The general practice in the later stage was that any suspected patients must be given for oseltamivir within 48 hours of the diagnosis. It has been concluded by now that this practice has saved lives in this outbreak and is hence recommended for any possible returned H7N9 infection in the autumn. From this point the timely publication of this work is important.
Facing the unpredictable H7N9 virus outbreak, we ought to think hard for our future. Should the infection come back, what should we do? Are we well prepared for any possible outbreak or even pandemic? The emergence of new subtype of H7N9 virus reminds us of the limitation of pre-warning or prediction of pandemic flu. Accumulation of data, both clinical and basic sets, is crucial in combating any emerging pathogens.