RESEARCH ARTICLE

Dynamic mechanism for the decline of China’s energy intensity during the 11th FYP (Five-Year Plan)

  • Minghui LI
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  • Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China; Institute of Transport and Economic Research, China Academy of Railway Science, Beijing 100081, China

Received date: 13 Jul 2010

Accepted date: 17 Sep 2010

Published date: 05 Sep 2011

Copyright

2014 Higher Education Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

Abstract

From 2006 to 2009, the aggregate energy intensity of China fell by 14.38%,<FootNote>

In December 2009, China published the outcomes of the second national economic census, according to which the actual decrease in energy intensity was 12.45% rather than 10.1% from 2006 to 2008. Because of the lack of detailed data in this census, the analysis in this paper is still based on the data published by the statistical yearbook. Thus, in this paper, the decline in the energy intensity of China is still assumed to be 10.1% from 2006 to 2008, with declines of 1.79%, 4.04%, and 4.59% in each year, respectively.

</FootNote> which means that China has made substantial progress towards its goal of achieving approximately a 20% reduction in energy intensity during the period of the 11th FYP (Five-Year Plan). This paper describes some new properties of the mechanism for the decrease in China’s energy intensity since the beginning of the 11th FYP. First, compared with the period of the 10th FYP, technical, structural, and residential energy-savings have been improved to a certain extent. Secondly, unlike the dynamic mechanism before 2000, technical energy savings have been the main driver of momentum since the beginning of the 11th FYP. Next, although structural energy savings are not the main factor, they are still a key factor for the decrease in energy intensity. Finally, residential energy savings are still a stable driver of momentum for the decline in China’s energy intensity.

Cite this article

Minghui LI . Dynamic mechanism for the decline of China’s energy intensity during the 11th FYP (Five-Year Plan)[J]. Frontiers in Energy, 0 , 5(3) : 237 -249 . DOI: 10.1007/s11708-010-0130-x

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the China Postdoctoral Science Foundation and the Energy Foundation.
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