Disaster Risk Science: A Geographical Perspective and a Research Framework
Peijun Shi , Tao Ye , Ying Wang , Tao Zhou , Wei Xu , Juan Du , Jing’ai Wang , Ning Li , Chongfu Huang , Lianyou Liu , Bo Chen , Yun Su , Weihua Fang , Ming Wang , Xiaobin Hu , Jidong Wu , Chunyang He , Qiang Zhang , Qian Ye , Carlo Jaeger , Norio Okada
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science ›› 2020, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (4) : 426 -440.
Disaster Risk Science: A Geographical Perspective and a Research Framework
In this article, we recall the United Nations’ 30-year journey in disaster risk reduction strategy and framework, review the latest progress and key scientific and technological questions related to the United Nations disaster risk reduction initiatives, and summarize the framework and contents of disaster risk science research. The object of disaster risk science research is the “disaster system” consisting of hazard, the geographical environment, and exposed units, with features of regionality, interconnectedness, coupling, and complexity. Environmental stability, hazard threat, and socioeconomic vulnerability together determine the way that disasters are formed, establish the spatial extent of disaster impact, and generate the scale of losses. In the formation of a disaster, a conducive environment is the prerequisite, a hazard is the necessary condition, and socioeconomic exposure is the sufficient condition. The geographical environment affects local hazard intensity and therefore can change the pattern of loss distribution. Regional multi-hazard, disaster chain, and disaster compound could induce complex impacts, amplifying or attenuating hazard intensity and changing the scope of affected areas. In the light of research progress, particularly in the context of China, we propose a three-layer disaster risk science disciplinary structure, which contains three pillars (disaster science, disaster technology, and disaster governance), nine core areas, and 27 research fields. Based on these elements, we discuss the frontiers in disaster risk science research.
Disaster system / Disaster science / Disaster technology / Disaster governance / Research framework / Research frontiers
| [1] |
|
| [2] |
|
| [3] |
|
| [4] |
|
| [5] |
|
| [6] |
|
| [7] |
Bevacqua, E., D. Maraun, M.I. Vousdoukas, E. Voukouvalas, M. Vrac, L. Mentaschi, and M. Widmann. 2019. Higher probability of compound flooding from precipitation and storm surge in Europe under anthropogenic climate change. Science Advances 5(9): Article eaaw5531. |
| [8] |
|
| [9] |
|
| [10] |
|
| [11] |
|
| [12] |
Carleton, T.A., and S.M. Hsiang. 2016. Social and economic impacts of climate. Science 353(6304): Article aad9837. |
| [13] |
|
| [14] |
|
| [15] |
|
| [16] |
|
| [17] |
|
| [18] |
|
| [19] |
|
| [20] |
|
| [21] |
|
| [22] |
|
| [23] |
|
| [24] |
|
| [25] |
|
| [26] |
|
| [27] |
|
| [28] |
|
| [29] |
Hikichi, H., Y. Sawada, T. Tsuboya, J. Aida, K. Kondo, S. Koyama, and I. Kawachi. 2017. Residential relocation and change in social capital: A natural experiment from the 2011 great east Japan earthquake and tsunami. Science Advances 3(7): Article e1700426. |
| [30] |
|
| [31] |
|
| [32] |
|
| [33] |
ICSU (International Council of Scientific Unions) A science plan for integrated research on disaster risk: Addressing the challenge of natural and human-induced environmental hazards, 2008, Paris: ICSU |
| [34] |
IDNDR (International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction). 1994. Yokohama strategy and plan of action for a safer world. https://www.preventionweb.net/files/8241_doc6841contenido1.pdf. Accessed 22 Jul 2020. |
| [35] |
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2012. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A special report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, ed. C.B. Field, V. Barros, T.F. Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, et al. Cambridge, UK and New York: Cambridge University Press. |
| [36] |
|
| [37] |
|
| [38] |
|
| [39] |
|
| [40] |
|
| [41] |
|
| [42] |
|
| [43] |
|
| [44] |
|
| [45] |
|
| [46] |
|
| [47] |
|
| [48] |
|
| [49] |
|
| [50] |
|
| [51] |
|
| [52] |
|
| [53] |
|
| [54] |
|
| [55] |
|
| [56] |
|
| [57] |
|
| [58] |
|
| [59] |
|
| [60] |
|
| [61] |
|
| [62] |
|
| [63] |
|
| [64] |
|
| [65] |
|
| [66] |
|
| [67] |
|
| [68] |
|
| [69] |
|
| [70] |
|
| [71] |
|
| [72] |
|
| [73] |
|
| [74] |
|
| [75] |
|
| [76] |
Shi, P., T. Ye, J. Wang, M. Zou, and F. He. 2006. Integrated governance of natural disaster risk. Journal of Beijing Normal University (Social Science) 5: 130–136 (in Chinese). |
| [77] |
|
| [78] |
|
| [79] |
Su, B., J. Huang, T. Fischer, Y. Wang, Z.W. Kundzewicz, J. Zhai, H. Sun, A Wang, et al. 2018. Drought losses in China might double between the 1.5°C and 2.0°C warming. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 115(42): 10600–10605. |
| [80] |
|
| [81] |
|
| [82] |
|
| [83] |
|
| [84] |
|
| [85] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction). 2004. Living with risk: A global review of disaster reduction initiatives. https://www.preventionweb.net/publications/view/657. Accessed 22 Jul 2020. |
| [86] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction). 2005. Hyogo framework for action 2005–2015: Building the resilience of nations and communities to disasters. https://www.unisdr.org/files/1037_hyogoframeworkforactionenglish.pdf. Accessed 22 Jul 2020. |
| [87] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction 2015–2030, 2015, Geneva: UNISDR |
| [88] |
UNDRR (United Nations Disaster Risk Reduction) Terminology—UNDRR, 2017, Geneva: UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction |
| [89] |
|
| [90] |
Walter, T.R., M. Haghshenas Haghighi, F.M. Schneider, D. Coppola, M. Motagh, J. Saul, A. Babeyko, T. Dahm, et al. 2019. Complex hazard cascade culminating in the Anak Krakatau sector collapse. Nature Communications 10: Article 4339. |
| [91] |
Wang, W., S. Yang, H.E. Stanley, and J. Gao. 2019. Local floods induce large-scale abrupt failures of road networks. Nature Communications 10: Article 2114. |
| [92] |
|
| [93] |
|
| [94] |
|
| [95] |
World Bank World development report 2014: Risk and opportunity—Managing risk for development, 2014, Washington, DC: The World Bank |
| [96] |
|
| [97] |
|
| [98] |
Yang, J., L. Hu, and C. Wang. 2019. Population dynamics modify urban residents’ exposure to extreme temperatures across the United States. Science Advances 5(12): Article eaay3452. |
| [99] |
|
| [100] |
|
| [101] |
|
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |