Challenges with Disaster Mortality Data and Measuring Progress Towards the Implementation of the Sendai Framework
Helen K. Green , Oliver Lysaght , Dell D. Saulnier , Kevin Blanchard , Alistair Humphrey , Bapon Fakhruddin , Virginia Murray
International Journal of Disaster Risk Science ›› 2019, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (4) : 449 -461.
Challenges with Disaster Mortality Data and Measuring Progress Towards the Implementation of the Sendai Framework
Disasters exact a heavy toll globally. However, the degree to which we can accurately quantify their impact, in particular mortality, remains challenging. It is critical to ensure that disaster data reliably reflects the scale, type, and distribution of disaster impacts given the role of data in: (1) risk assessments; (2) developing disaster risk management programs; (3) determining the resources for response to emergencies; (4) the types of action undertaken in planning for prevention and preparedness; and (5) identifying research gaps. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030s seven global disaster-impact reduction targets represent the first international attempt to systematically measure the effectiveness of disaster-impact reduction as a means of better informing policy with evidence. Target A of the Sendai Framework aims to “substantially reduce global disaster mortality by 2030, aiming to lower the average per 100,000 global mortality rate in the decade 2020–2030 compared to the period 2005–2015.” This article provides an overview of the complexities associated with defining, reporting, and interpreting disaster mortality data used for gauging success in meeting Target A, acknowledging different challenges for different types of hazard events and subsequent disasters. It concludes with suggestions of how to address these challenges to inform the public health utility of monitoring through the Sendai Framework.
Data / Disaster mortality / Disaster risk management / Disaster risk reduction / Mass casualty / Sendai Framework
| [1] |
|
| [2] |
|
| [3] |
|
| [4] |
Bouwer, L.M., and S.N. Jonkman. 2018. Global mortality from storm surges is decreasing. Environmental Research Letters 13(1): Article 014008. |
| [5] |
|
| [6] |
|
| [7] |
CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention) Death scene investigation after natural disaster or other weather-related events toolkit, 2017 1 Atlanta, GA: CDC |
| [8] |
|
| [9] |
Clarke, L., K. Blanchard, R. Maini, A. Radu, Z. Zaidi, and V. Murray. 2017. Knowing what we know—reflections on the development of technical guidance for loss data for the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction. PLOS Currents Disasters 1. https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.dis.537bd80d1037a2ffde67d66c604d2a78. |
| [10] |
|
| [11] |
CRED (Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters). 2017. EM-DAT: The international disaster database explanatory notes. Brussels: CRED. http://www.emdat.be/explanatory-notes. Accessed 19 Mar 2017. |
| [12] |
|
| [13] |
DesInventar. 2018. Inventory system of the effects of disasters. Cali, Colombia: Desinventar. https://www.desinventar.org/en/desinventar.html. Accessed 15 Aug 2018. |
| [14] |
|
| [15] |
|
| [16] |
European Commission. 2016. Horizon 2020 Commission expert group on turning FAIR data into reality (E03464). http://ec.europa.eu/transparency/regexpert/index.cfm?do=groupDetail.groupDetail&groupID=3464. Accessed 15 Aug 2018. |
| [17] |
European Commission. 2018. Human impact by disasters in 2017. Brussels: ECHO. http://erccportal.jrc.ec.europa.eu/emaildailymap/title/ECHO%20Daily%20Map%20of%2016%20April%202018. Accessed 16 Aug 2018. |
| [18] |
|
| [19] |
|
| [20] |
GBD 2015 Mortality and Causes of Death Collaborators Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980–2015: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015. The Lancet, 2016, 388(10053): 1459-1544. |
| [21] |
|
| [22] |
|
| [23] |
|
| [24] |
|
| [25] |
IEAG (Independent Expert Advisory Group on a Data Revolution for Sustainable Development). 2014. A world that counts—Mobilising the data revolution for sustainable development. Report prepared at the request of the United Nations Secretary-General, by the IEAG. http://www.undatarevolution.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/12/A-World-That-Counts2.pdf. Accessed 15 Aug 2018. |
| [26] |
International Digital Health Conference. 2018. Public health and emergencies in the age of big data. https://www.acm-digitalhealth.org/2018/highlights-from-2018-2/index.html. Accessed 18 Sept 2019. |
| [27] |
IRDR (Integrated Research on Disaster Risk). 2015. Guidelines on measuring losses from disasters: Human and economic impact indicators (IRDR Data Publication No. 2). Beijing: Integrated Research on Disaster Risk. |
| [28] |
|
| [29] |
|
| [30] |
|
| [31] |
Lapidos, J. 2008. Natural-disaster death tolls: Who’s counting? Slate. http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/explainer/2008/05/naturaldisaster_death_tolls.html. Accessed 15 Aug 2018. |
| [32] |
|
| [33] |
|
| [34] |
Mezinska, S., P. Kakuk, G. Mijaljica, M. Waligóra, and D.P. O’Mathúna. 2016. Research in disaster settings: A systematic qualitative review of ethical guidelines. BMC Medical Ethics 17(1): Article 62. |
| [35] |
|
| [36] |
|
| [37] |
|
| [38] |
|
| [39] |
OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) Assessing the real cost of disasters: The need for better evidence, OECD reviews of risk management policies, 2018, Paris: OECD Publishing |
| [40] |
Office for National Statistics UK data gaps: Inclusive data action plan towards the global sustainable development goal indicators, 2018, London: UK Office for National Statistics |
| [41] |
Office for National Statistics Excess winter mortality in England and Wales: 2017 to 2018 (provisional) and 2016 to 2017 (final), 2018, London: UK Office for National Statistics |
| [42] |
|
| [43] |
Our World in Data. 2017. What was the death toll from Chernobyl and Fukushima? https://ourworldindata.org/what-was-the-death-toll-from-chernobyl-and-fukushima. Accessed 15 Aug 2018. |
| [44] |
|
| [45] |
|
| [46] |
Robles, F., D. Kenan, S. Fink, and S. Almukhtar. 2017. Official toll in Puerto Rico: 64 actual deaths may be 1,052. The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/12/08/us/puerto-rico-hurricane-maria-death-toll.html. Accessed 15 Feb 2019. |
| [47] |
SAMSA (Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration). 2016. Disaster technical assistance center supplemental research bulletin: Challenges and considerations in disaster research. https://www.samhsa.gov/sites/default/files/dtac/supplemental-research-bulletin-jan-2016.pdf. Accessed 18 Sept 2019. |
| [48] |
Santos-Lozada, A.R., and J.T. Howard. 2017. Estimates of excess deaths in Puerto Rico following Hurricane María. SocArXiv. https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/s7dmu/. Accessed 18 Sept 2019. |
| [49] |
|
| [50] |
SDSN TReNDS Counting on the world: Building modern data systems for sustainable development, 2017, Paris: Sustainable Development Solutions Network |
| [51] |
|
| [52] |
|
| [53] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Sendai framework for disaster risk reduction 2015–2030, 2015, Geneva: UNISDR |
| [54] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Launch of the 2015 global assessment report on disaster risk reduction, 2015, New York: UNISDR |
| [55] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Annex to the working background text on indicators for the 7global targets of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, 2015, Geneva: UNISDR |
| [56] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Technical guidance for monitoring and reporting on progress in achieving the global targets of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction: Collection of technical notes on data and methodology, 2017, Geneva: UNISDR |
| [57] |
UNISDR (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction) Terminology on disaster risk reduction, 2017, Geneva: UNISDR |
| [58] |
UNISDR and CRED (United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction and Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters) Poverty & death: Disaster mortality 1996–2015, 2016, Geneva and Brussels: UNISDR and CRED |
| [59] |
United Nations Statistics Division. 2017. Coverage of birth and death registration. https://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic-social/crvs/. Accessed 18 Sept 2019. |
| [60] |
WHO (World Health Organization). 2004. ICD-10: International statistical classification of diseases and related health problems: Tenth revision, 2nd edn. World Health Organization. https://apps.who.int/iris/handle/10665/42980. Accessed 18 Sept 2019. |
| [61] |
WHO (World Health Organization) Ethics in epidemics, emergencies and disasters: Research, surveillance and patient care: Training manual, 2015, Geneva: WHO |
| [62] |
World Bank and WHO (World Health Organization) Global civil registration and vital statistics: Scaling up investment plan 2015–24, 2014, Washington, DC: World Bank Group |
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |