Plugging climate‑risk tool into an integrated management model for coastal adaptation

Abstract

Adaptation to Climate Change (CC) impacts, Sea Level Rise (SLR) in particular, necessitates the application of Ecosystem Management Tools such as environmental risk assessments, impact assessments and impact management tools, that directly operate in a cause-consequence-response framework and suggest actions at various levels. In this contribution, an effort to support SLR adaptation planning in response to CC impacts on coastal tourism is made, through the integration of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) assessment framework and the DAPSI(W)R(M) framework, as well as the practical integration of the Impact Chain (IC) Tool and Bow-Tie Analysis. The proposed approach uses the Bow-Tie Analysis as a policy tool to fine-tune adaptation management plans in order to address the CC impacts on the coastal tourism sector, as they have been identified by the prior application of IC Tool, following IPCC AR6. The integration of the two approaches forms a framework able to support a concrete schema to address SLR induced beach retreat. The Bow-Tie analysis acts complementarily to the IC tool to structure potential mitigation and adaptation actions addressing the raised issues and respond to CC. The interrelation of the two frameworks enables climatic risk assessment and allows the identification of appropriate management measures addressing the specific components and facilitating the effective preparation for the forthcoming climatic conditions.

Keywords

Climate change adaptation / Coastal tourism / Risk management / Impact chain tool / Bow-tie

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