Optimal stopping under G-expectation

Hanwu Li

Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk ›› 2025, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (2) : 265 -292.

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Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk ›› 2025, Vol. 10 ›› Issue (2) : 265 -292. DOI: 10.3934/puqr.2025012
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Optimal stopping under G-expectation

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Abstract

In this study, we develop a theory of optimal stopping problems within the G-expectation framework. To address this problem, we first introduce a type of random times, called G-stopping times, which are specifically suited for this setting. In the discrete-time case with a finite horizon, we define the value function backward and show that it is the smallest G-supermartingale that dominates the payoff process, ensuring the existence of an optimal stopping time. We then extend these results to both the infinite-horizon case and the continuous-time setting. Moreover, we establish the relationship between the value function and the solution of the reflected backward stochastic differential equation driven by G-Brownian motion.

Keywords

Optimal stopping / G-expectation / G-stopping time / Knightian uncertainty

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Hanwu Li. Optimal stopping under G-expectation. Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk, 2025, 10(2): 265-292 DOI:10.3934/puqr.2025012

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Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the Editor-in-Chief for his attention to the article and appreciate the reviewers for their constructive feedback and valuable suggestions, which have greatly improved the paper.

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