Fundamentals of the analytic network process — multiple networks with benefits, costs, opportunities and risks

Thomas L. Saaty

Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering ›› 2004, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (3) : 348 -379.

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Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering ›› 2004, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (3) : 348 -379. DOI: 10.1007/s11518-006-0171-1
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Fundamentals of the analytic network process — multiple networks with benefits, costs, opportunities and risks

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Abstract

The general theory of the ANP enables one to deal with the benefits, opportunities, costs, and risks (the BOCR merits) of a decision, by introducing the notion of negative priorities for C and R along with the rating (not comparison) of the top priority alternative synthesized for each of the four merits in terms of strategic criteria to enable one to combine the four B, O, C, and R values of each alternative into a single outcome. Strategic criteria are very basic criteria individuals and groups use to assess whether they should make any of the many decisions they face in their daily operations. They do not depend on any particular decision for their priorities but are assessed in terms of the goals and values of the individual or organization. Synthesis is made with two formulas, one multiplicative and one additive subtractive that can give rise to negative overall priorities. This paper summarizes and illustrates basic complex decisions involving several control criteria under each of the BOCR merits.

Keywords

Analytic network process / forecasting / US economy / benefits / opportunities / costs / risks / China and the WTO / Ford Explorer Re-design / sensitivity analysis

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Thomas L. Saaty. Fundamentals of the analytic network process — multiple networks with benefits, costs, opportunities and risks. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 2004, 13(3): 348-379 DOI:10.1007/s11518-006-0171-1

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References

[1]

Blair A.R., Nachtmann R., Saaty T. L., Whitaker R.. Forecasting the resurgence of the US economy in 2001: an expert judgment approach. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2002, 36: 77-91.

[2]

Saaty T. L.. Decision-making with Dependence and Feedback: The Analytic Network Process, 2001, 4922 Ellsworth Avenue, Pittsburgh, PA. 15213: RWS Publications

[3]

Saaty T. L., Kearns K. P.. Analytical Planning: The Organization of Systems, 1985, Oxford: Pergamon Press Translated to Russian. Paperback edition, RWS Publications, Pittsburgh, 1991

[4]

Saaty, T. L., “Time dependent decision-making; dynamic priorities in the AHP/ANP, generalizing from points to functions and from real to complex variables”, Proceedings of the 7th ISAHP Symposium on the AHP, Bali, Indonesia, August, 2003

[5]

Saaty T. L., Cho Y.. The decision by the US congress on China’s trade status: a multicriteria analysis. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2001, 35: 243-252.

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