Avoiding over-crediting of forestry carbon offsets under the new global carbon market

Chunyu Pan , Guomo Zhou , John L. Innes , John-O. Niles , Frank Berninger , Guangyu Wang

Journal of Forestry Research ›› 2026, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (1) : 10

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Journal of Forestry Research ›› 2026, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (1) :10 DOI: 10.1007/s11676-025-01940-w
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Avoiding over-crediting of forestry carbon offsets under the new global carbon market

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Abstract

COP29 stepped forward in operationalizing the critical Paris Agreement Article 6 mechanism, which poses new opportunities for forest-based carbon crediting projects. However, these projects, especially those with forest conservation activities, once deemed promising nature-based solutions to climate change, have been facing unique over-crediting challenges, which raised significant concerns in the public and academia. This paper provides recommendations for adopting a dynamic matched baseline accounting approach to enhance integrity and rebuild trust in the industry and the upcoming new global carbon market.

Keywords

Climate change / Forest carbon / REDD+ / Dynamic baseline / Paris Agreement Article 6 / Additionality

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Chunyu Pan, Guomo Zhou, John L. Innes, John-O. Niles, Frank Berninger, Guangyu Wang. Avoiding over-crediting of forestry carbon offsets under the new global carbon market. Journal of Forestry Research, 2026, 37(1): 10 DOI:10.1007/s11676-025-01940-w

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