Estimation of demand for wood panels in Iran by the year of 2012

Abstract

Considering increasing rate of Iran population and consumption of wood panels, the authors investigated the per capita consumption of wood panels during the years from 1997 to 2007. The exponential smoothing method was used to obtain a per capita consumption pattern of wood panels in Iran for estimating demand of wood panels by the year of 2012. Results show that the consumption of particleboard, fiberboard, and medium density fiberboard in Iran will increase by 33%, 72% and 107 %, respectively, by the year of 2012; however, the consumption of plywood will increase only by 7% by 2012. The deficient amount of wood panels in Iran is estimated over 1400 000 m³. The results of this study provide the technique reference for planners of wood panel industries in Iran in capital investment decisions.

Keywords

wood panels / exponential smoothing / estimating / Iran / wood panel demand

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