A New Method to Identify the Maximum Time Interval between Individual Events in Compound Rainstorm and Heatwave Events
Junlin Zhang, Wei Xu, Yu Qiao, Xinli Liao, Chenna Meng, Qinmei Han
A New Method to Identify the Maximum Time Interval between Individual Events in Compound Rainstorm and Heatwave Events
Growing evidence indicates that extreme heat and rain may occur in succession within short time periods and cause greater impacts than individual events separated in time and space. Therefore, many studies have examined the impacts of compound hazard events on the social-ecological system at various scales. The definition of compound events is fundamental for such research. However, there are no existing studies that support the determination of time interval between individual events of a compound rainstorm and heatwave (CRH) event, which consists of two or more potentially qualifying component heatwave and rainstorm events. To address the deficiency in defining what individual events can constitute a CRH event, this study proposed a novel method to determine the maximum time interval for CRH events through the change in CRH event frequency with increasing time interval between individual events, using southern China as a case study. The results show that the threshold identified by the proposed method is reasonable. For more than 90% of the meteorological stations, the frequency of CRH events has reached a maximum when the time interval is less than or equal to the threshold. This study can aid in time interval selection, which is an important step for subsequent study of CRH events.
Compound extreme weather event / Rainstorm and heatwave / Southern China / Threshold / Time interval
[] |
BBC News. 2022. Europe storms: Children among dead in France, Austria and Italy. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-62598573. Accessed 25 Feb 2024.
|
[] |
Bevacqua, E., M.I. Vousdoukas, G. Zappa, K. Hodges, T.G. Shepherd, D. Maraun, L. Mentaschi, and L. Feyen. 2020. More meteorological events that drive compound coastal flooding are projected under climate change. Communications Earth & Environment 1: Article 47.
|
[] |
|
[] |
Chen, Y., Z. Liao, Y. Shi, P. Li, and P. Zhai. 2022. Greater flash flood risks from hourly precipitation extremes preconditioned by heatwaves in the Yangtze River Valley. Geophysical Research Letters 49: Article e2022GL099485.
|
[] |
Chen, Y., Z. Liao, Y. Shi, Y. Tian, and P. Zhai. 2021. Detectable increases in sequential flood‐heatwave events across China during 1961–2018. Geophysical Research Letters 48,: Article e2021GL092549.
|
[] |
Edmonds, D.A., R.L. Caldwell, E.S. Brondizio, and S.M.O. Siani. 2020. Coastal flooding will disproportionately impact people on river deltas. Nature Communications 11: Article 4741.
|
[] |
Fang, B., and M. Lu. 2023. Asia faces a growing threat from intraseasonal compound weather whiplash. Earth’s Future 11: Article e2022EF003111.
|
[] |
Feng, K., M. Ouyang, and N. Lin. 2022. Tropical cyclone-blackout-heatwave compound hazard resilience in a changing climate. Nature Communications 13: Article 4421.
|
[] |
|
[] |
|
[] |
Ghanbari, M., M. Arabi, S.C. Kao, J. Obeysekera, and W. Sweet. 2021. Climate change and changes in compound coastal-riverine flooding hazard along the US coasts. Earth’s Future 9: Article e2021EF002055.
|
[] |
Gu, L., J. Chen, J. Yin, L.J. Slater, H.-M. Wang, Q. Guo, M. Feng, H. Qin, et al. 2022. Global increases in compound flood‐hot extreme hazards under climate warming. Geophysical Research Letters 49: Article e2022GL097726.
|
[] |
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). . Climate change 2021: The physical science basis, 2021 Cambridge, UK Cambridge University Press
|
[] |
Kim, H., G.D. Madakumbura, S.Y. Wang, H. Shiogama, E. Fischer, N. Utsumi, and J. Yoon. 2019. Flood and heatwave in Japan 2018 and future increase of consecutive compound risk in a warmer world. In Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2019, 9–13 December 2019, San Francisco, USA.
|
[] |
Kong, Q., S.B. Guerreiro, S. Blenkinsop, X.-F. Li, and H.J. Fowler. 2020. Increases in summertime concurrent drought and heatwave in Eastern China. Weather and Climate Extremes 28: Article 100242.
|
[] |
|
[] |
Li, C., R. Min, X. Gu, A. Gulakhmadov, S. Luo, R. Liu, J. Slater, and F. Xie. 2022. Substantial increase in heavy precipitation events preceded by moist heatwaves over China during 1961–2019. Frontiers in Environmental Science 10: Article 951392.
|
[] |
Liao, Z., Y. Chen, W. Li, and P. Zhai. 2021. Growing threats from unprecedented sequential flood‐hot extremes across China. Geophysical Research Letters 48(18): Article e2021GL094505.
|
[] |
|
[] |
Mukherjee, S., and A.K. Mishra. 2021. Increase in compound drought and heatwaves in a warming world. Geophysical Research Letters 48: Article e2020GL090617.
|
[] |
Mukherjee, S., A.K. Mishra, M. Ashfaq, and S.-C. Kao. 2022. Relative effect of anthropogenic warming and natural climate variability to changes in compound drought and heatwaves. Journal of Hydrology 605: Article 127396.
|
[] |
Peter Sheng, Y., V.A. Paramygin, K. Yang, and A.A. Rivera-Nieves. 2022. A sensitivity study of rising compound coastal inundation over large flood plains in a changing climate. Scientific Reports 12: Article 3403.
|
[] |
Qiu, J., B. Liu, F. Yang, X. Wang, and X. He. 2022. Quantitative stress test of compound coastal‐fluvial floods in China’s Pearl River Delta. Earth’s Future 10: Artcile e2021EF002638.
|
[] |
|
[] |
|
[] |
|
[] |
Sauter, C., H.J. Fowler, S. Westra, H. Ali, N. Peleg, and C.J. White. 2023. Compound extreme hourly rainfall preconditioned by heatwaves most likely in the mid-latitudes. Weather and Climate Extremes 40: Article 100563.
|
[] |
|
[] |
Wu, J., Y. Chen, Z. Liao, X. Gao, P. Zhai, and Y. Hu. 2022. Increasing risk from landfalling tropical cyclone-heatwave compound events to coastal and inland China. Environmental Research Letters 17(10). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac9747.
|
[] |
You, J.W., and S. Wang. 2021. Higher probability of occurrence of hotter and shorter heat waves followed by heavy rainfall. Geophysical Research Letters 48: Article e2021GL094831.
|
[] |
Zhang, W., and G. Villarini. 2020. Deadly compound heat stress‐flooding hazard across the Central United States. Geophysical Research Letters 47: Article e2020GL089185.
|
[] |
|
[] |
|
/
〈 | 〉 |