A Systematic Analysis of Systems Approach and Flood Risk Management Research: Trends, Gaps, and Opportunities

Lum Sonita Awah, Johanes Amate Belle, Yong Sebastian Nyam, Israel Ropo Orimoloye

International Journal of Disaster Risk Science ›› 2024, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (1) : 45-57. DOI: 10.1007/s13753-024-00544-y
Article

A Systematic Analysis of Systems Approach and Flood Risk Management Research: Trends, Gaps, and Opportunities

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Flooding is a global threat, necessitating a comprehensive management approach. Due to the complexity of managing flood hazards and risks, researchers have advocated for holistic, comprehensive, and integrated approaches. This study, employing a systems thinking perspective, assessed global flood risk management research trends, gaps, and opportunities using 132 published documents in BibTeX format. A systematic review of downloaded documents from the Scopus and Web of Science databases revealed slow progress of approximately 11.61% annual growth in applying systems thinking and its concomitant approaches to understanding global flood risk management over the past two decades compared to other fields like water resource management and business management systems. A significant gap exists in the application of systems thinking methodologies to flood risk management research between developed and developing countries, particularly in Africa, highlighting the urgency of reoriented research and policy efforts. The application gaps of the study methodology are linked to challenges outlined in existing literature, such as issues related to technical expertise and resource constraints. This study advocates a shift from linear to holistic approaches in flood risk management, aligned with the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2023 and the Sustainable Development Goals. Collaboration among researchers, institutions, and countries is essential to address this global challenge effectively.

Keywords

Flood risk management research / Gaps and opportunities / Global trends in flood research / Systematic review / Systems thinking

Cite this article

Download citation ▾
Lum Sonita Awah, Johanes Amate Belle, Yong Sebastian Nyam, Israel Ropo Orimoloye. A Systematic Analysis of Systems Approach and Flood Risk Management Research: Trends, Gaps, and Opportunities. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2024, 15(1): 45‒57 https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-024-00544-y

References

[]
Anisah, A., B.H. Santosa, and D.B. Sencaki. 2022. Conceptual framework of systems thinking based flood risk management: A preliminary study. In Proceedings of 2022 IEEE Asia-Pacific Conference on Geoscience, Electronics and Remote Sensing Technology (AGERS), 21–22 December 2022, Surabaya, Indonesia, 1–5.
[]
Apel H, Thieken AH, Merz B, Blöschl G. A probabilistic modelling system for assessing flood risks. Natural Hazards, 2006, 38(1–2): 79-100
[]
Atanassova I, Bertin M, Mayr P. Editorial: Mining scientific papers: NLP-enhanced Bibliometrics. Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics, 2019, pmcid: 8028414
CrossRef Pubmed Google scholar
[]
Atanga RA. The role of local community leaders in flood disaster risk management strategy making in Accra. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2020, 43: 101358
[]
Awah LS, Belle JA, Nyam YS, Orimoloye IR. A participatory systems dynamic modelling approach to understanding flood systems in a coastal community in Cameroon. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2024, 101: 104236
[]
Azar AT. System dynamics as a useful technique for complex systems. International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, 2012, 10(4): 377-410
[]
Barbrook-Johnson P, Penn AS. Barbrook-Johnson P, Penn AS. Causal loop diagrams. Systems mapping: How to build and use causal models of systems, 2022 Cham Springer 47-59
[]
Bernhofen MV, Cooper S, Trigg M, Mdee A, Carr A, Bhave A, Solano-Correa YT, Pencue-Fierro EL, et al.. The role of global data sets for riverine flood risk management at national scales. Water Resources Research, 2022, 58(4): e2021WR031555
[]
Betley E, Sterling EJ, Akabas S, Paxton A, Frost L. Introduction to systems and systems thinking. Lessons in Conservation, 2021, 11: 9-25
[]
Bosch OJH, King CA, Herbohn JL, Russell IW, Smith CS. Getting the big picture in natural resource management—Systems thinking as “method” for scientists, policy makers and other stakeholders. Systems Research and Behavioral Science: The Official Journal of the International Federation for Systems Research, 2007, 24(2): 217-232
[]
Caretta MA, Fernandez R, Zegre N, Shinn J. Flooding hazard and vulnerability. An interdisciplinary experimental approach for the study of the 2016 west Virginia floods. Frontiers in Water, 2021,
CrossRef Google scholar
[]
Cavallo A, Ireland V. Preparing for complex interdependent risks: A system of systems approach to building disaster resilience. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2014, 9: 181-193
[]
Ceres RL, Forest CE, Keller K. Trade-offs and synergies in managing coastal flood risk: A case study for New York City. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2022, 15(1): e12771
[]
Chang H, Pallathadka A, Sauer J, Grimm NB, Zimmerman R, Cheng C, Iwaniec DM, Kim Y, et al.. Assessment of urban flood vulnerability using the social–ecological–technological systems framework in six US cities. Sustainable Cities and Society, 2021, 68: 102786
[]
Cheek W, Chmutina K. “Building back better” is neoliberal post-disaster reconstruction. Disasters, 2022, 46(3): 589-609,
Pubmed
[]
Chetry B. Sajjad H, Siddiqui L, Rahman A, Tahir M, Siddiqui MA. Living with floods: Community-based coping and resilience mechanism of mising from floods; A study of Majuli District of Assam. Challenges of disasters in Asia: Vulnerability, adaptation and resilience, 2022 Singapore Springer 371-411
[]
Cloke, H., G. Di Baldassarre, O. Landeg, F. Pappenberger, and M.H. Ramos. 2017. Hydrological risk: Floods. https://drmkc.jrc.ec.europa.eu/portals/0/Knowledge/ScienceforDRM/ch03_s02/ch03_s02_subch0304.pdf. Accessed 8 Feb 2024.
[]
Cobo MJ, López-Herrera AG, Herrera-Viedma E, Herrera F. An approach for detecting, quantifying, and visualizing the evolution of a research field: A practical application to the Fuzzy Sets Theory field. Journal of Informetrics, 2011, 5(1): 146-166
[]
Costa CGF. Disaster management and climate adaptation roadmap for coastal cities based on the ten essentials of UNDRR. Journal of Integrated Coastal Zone Management, 2021, 21(1): 33-53
[]
CRED (Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters). 2015. EM-DAT | The international disasters database. https://www.emdat.be/. Accessed 8 Feb 2024.
[]
De Bruijn KM. . Resilience and flood risk management: A systems approach applied to lowland rivers, 2005 Delft Delft University Press
[]
De Bruijn KM, Jafino BA, Merz B, Doorn N, Priest SJ, Dahm RJ, Zevenbergen C, Aerts JC, Comes T. Flood risk management through a resilience lens. Communications Earth & Environment, 2022, 3(1): 285
[]
De Ruiter MC, Couasnon A, van den Homberg MJ, Daniell JE, Gill JC, Ward PJ. Why we can no longer ignore consecutive disasters. Earth’s Future, 2020, 8(3): e2019EF001425
[]
Di Bitetti MS, Ferreras JA. The effect on citation rate of using languages other than English in scientific publications. AMBIO, 2017, 46: 121-127,
Pubmed
[]
Duncan, J. 2023. Unlocking the power of context: The crucial factor in communicating flood risk data. https://aecom.com/without-limits/article/unlocking-the-power-of-context-the-crucial-factor-in-communicating-flood-risk-data/. Accessed 8 Feb 2024.
[]
El-Omar EM. How to publish a scientific manuscript in a high-impact journal. Advances in Digestive Medicine, 2014, 1(4): 105-109
[]
Fields, S. 2022. Flood risk to rise more than 25% in the next few decades because of climate change. Marketplace, 2 February 2022. https://www.marketplace.org/2022/02/02/flood-risk-to-rise-more-than-25-in-the-next-few-decades-because-of-climate-change/. Accessed 8 Feb 2024.
[]
Graveline MH, Germain D. Disaster risk resilience: Conceptual evolution, key issues, and opportunities. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science, 2022, 13(3): 330-341
[]
Guha-Sapir D, Hoyois P, Below R. . Annual disaster statistical review 2013: The numbers and trends, 2014 Brussels CRED
[]
Hagedoorn LC, Bubeck P, Hudson P, Brander LM, Pham M, Lasage R. Preferences of vulnerable social groups for ecosystem-based adaptation to flood risk in central Vietnam. World Development, 2021, 148: 105650
[]
Hellman J. Living with floods and coping with vulnerability. Disaster Prevention and Management, 2015, 24(4): 468-483
[]
Hossain NUI, Dayarathna VL, Nagahi M, Jaradat R. Systems thinking: A review and bibliometric analysis. Systems, 2020, 8(3): 23
[]
Islam MA, Griffin AL, Paull DJ, Murshed S. Assessing critical infrastructure resilience in terms of its service-providing capacity in coastal Bangladesh: A synthesis of geospatial techniques and social responses. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2022, 67: 102633
[]
Jongman B, Koks EE, Husby TG, Ward PJ. Increasing flood exposure in the Netherlands: Implications for risk financing. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 2014, 14(5): 1245-1255
[]
Kaufmann M, Wiering M. The role of discourses in understanding institutional stability and change—An analysis of Dutch flood risk governance. Journal of Environmental Policy & Planning, 2022, 24(1): 1-20
[]
Klijn F, de Bruijn KM, Knoop J, Kwadijk J. Assessment of the Netherlands’ flood risk management policy under global change. AMBIO, 2012, 41: 180-192,
Pubmed
[]
Kovacs Y, Doussin N, Gaussens M, Pacoud CL, Afd OG. . Flood risk and cities in developing countries, 2017 Paris French Development Agency
[]
Kreibich H, Sairam N, et al.. Kondrup C, Mercogliano P, Bosello F, Mysiak J, Scoccimarro E, Rizzo A, Ebrey R, de Ruiter M, et al.. Dynamic flood risk modelling in human-flood systems. Climate adaptation modelling, 2022 Cham Springer 95-103
[]
Laspidou CS, Mellios NK, Spyropoulou AE, Kofinas DT, Papadopoulou MP. Systems thinking on the resource nexus: Modeling and visualisation tools to identify critical interlinkages for resilient and sustainable societies and institutions. Science of the Total Environment, 2020, 717: 137264,
Pubmed
[]
Laurien F, Martin JG, Mehryar S. Climate and disaster resilience measurement: Persistent gaps in multiple hazards, methods, and practicability. Climate Risk Management, 2022, 37: 100443
[]
Madu CN. . Handbook of disaster risk reduction & management: Climate change and natural disasters, 2017 Hackensack World Scientific Publishing Company
[]
Mai T, Mushtaq S, Reardon-Smith K, Webb P, Stone R, Kath J, An-Vo DA. Defining flood risk management strategies: A systems approach. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2020, 47: 101550
[]
Maskrey SA, Mount NJ, Thorne CR. Doing flood risk modelling differently: Evaluating the potential for participatory techniques to broaden flood risk management decision-making. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 2022, 15(1): e12757
[]
Mavrouli M, Mavroulis S, Lekkas E, Tsakris A. Infectious diseases associated with hydro-meteorological hazards in Europe: Disaster risk reduction in the context of the climate crisis and the ongoing COVID-19 Pandemic. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 2022, 19(16): 10206, pmcid: 9408126
Pubmed
[]
McDermott TK. Global exposure to flood risk and poverty. Nature Communications, 2022, 13(1): 3529, pmcid: 9239995
Pubmed
[]
Mehryar S, Surminski S. Investigating flood resilience perceptions and supporting collective decision-making through fuzzy cognitive mapping. Science of the Total Environment, 2022, 837: 155854,
Pubmed
[]
Mejia C, Wu M, Zhang Y, Kajikawa Y. Exploring topics in bibliometric research through citation networks and semantic analysis. Frontiers in Research Metrics and Analytics, 2021, 6: 742311, pmcid: 8498340
Pubmed
[]
Mendis N, Siriwardhana S, Kulatunga U. Ghosh C, Kolathayar S. Implementation of build back better concept for post-disaster reconstruction in Sri Lanka. A system engineering approach to disaster resilience: Select proceedings of VCDRR 2021, 2022 Singapore Springer 33-48
[]
Moon J, Flannery W, Revez A. Discourse and practice of participatory flood risk management in Belfast, UK. Land Use Policy, 2017, 63: 408-417
[]
Newman R, Noy I. The global costs of extreme weather that are attributable to climate change. Nature Communications, 2023, 14(1): 6103, pmcid: 10541421
Pubmed
[]
Nur I, Shrestha KK. An integrative perspective on community vulnerability to flooding in cities of developing countries. Procedia Engineering, 2017, 198: 958-967
[]
Nyam YS, Kotir JH, Jordaan AJ, Ogundeji AA, Adetoro AA, Orimoloye IR. Towards understanding and sustaining natural resource systems through the systems perspective: A systematic evaluation. Sustainability, 2020, 12(23): 9871
[]
OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development). . Managing climate risks, facing up to losses and damages, 2021 Paris OECD Publishing,
CrossRef Google scholar
[]
Ogundeji AA, Okolie CC. Perception and adaptation strategies of smallholder farmers to drought risk: A scientometric analysis. Agriculture, 2022, 12(8): 1129
[]
Okolie CC, Danso-Abbeam G, Groupson-Paul O, Ogundeji AA. Climate-smart agriculture amidst climate change to enhance agricultural production: A bibliometric analysis. Land, 2022, 12(1): 50
[]
Orimoloye IR, Belle JA, Ololade OO. Exploring the emerging evolution trends of disaster risk reduction research: A global scenario. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 2021, 18: 673-690
[]
Peffer M, Renken M. Practical strategies for collaboration across discipline-based education research and the learning sciences. CBE Life Sciences Education, 2016, 15(4): es11, pmcid: 5132378
Pubmed
[]
Perrone A, Inam A, Albano R, Adamowski J, Sole A. A participatory system dynamics modeling approach to facilitate collaborative flood risk management: A case study in the Bradano River (Italy). Journal of Hydrology, 2020, 580: 124354
[]
Polka, B.E. 2018. Global flood risk under climate change. Public Health Post, 17 April 2018. https://www.publichealthpost.org/databyte/global-flood-risk-under-climate-change/. Accessed 8 Feb 2024.
[]
Rehman J, Sohaib O, Asif M, Pradhan B. Applying systems thinking to flood disaster management for sustainable development. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2019, 36: 101101
[]
Rentschler J, Salhab M, Jafino BA. Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries. Nature Communications, 2022, 13(1): 3527, pmcid: 9240081
Pubmed
[]
Sadiq AA, Tyler J, Noonan DS. A review of community flood risk management studies in the United States. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2019, 41: 101327
[]
Salazar-Briones C, Ruiz-Gibert JM, Lomelí-Banda MA, Mungaray-Moctezuma A. An integrated urban flood vulnerability index for sustainable planning in arid zones of developing countries. Water, 2020, 12(2): 608
[]
Salleh SZ. Bibliometric and content analysis on publications in digitization technology implementation in cultural heritage for recent five years (2016–2021). Digital Applications in Archaeology and Cultural Heritage, 2022, 25: e00225
[]
Salmon, P.M., N. Goode, F. Archer, C. Spencer, D. McArdle, R. McClure, and M.D.R. Initiative. 2012. New perspectives on disaster response: The role of systems theory and methods. In Proceedings of the 2012 Australian and New Zealand Disaster and Emergency Management Conference, 16–18 April 2012, Queensland, Australia, 353–367.
[]
Saunders SG, Truong VD. Social marketing interventions: Insights from a system dynamics simulation model. Journal of Social Marketing, 2019, 9(3): 329-342
[]
Saviano M, Barile S, Farioli F, Orecchini F. Strengthening the science-policy-industry interface for progressing toward sustainability: A systems thinking view. Sustainability Science, 2019, 14: 1549-1564
[]
Schaffernicht M. Causal loop diagrams between structure and behaviour: A critical analysis of the relationship between polarity, behaviour and events. Systems Research and Behavioral Science, 2010, 27(6): 653-666
[]
Schoenenberger L, Schmid A, Tanase R, Beck M, Schwaninger M. Structural analysis of system dynamics models. Simulation Modelling Practice and Theory, 2021, 110: 102333
[]
Schröter K, Barendrecht M, Bertola M, Ciullo A, da Costa RT, Cumiskey L, Curran A, Diederen D, et al.. Large-scale flood risk assessment and management: Prospects of a systems approach. Water Security, 2021, 14: 100109
[]
Shmueli DF, Ozawa CP, Kaufman S. Collaborative planning principles for disaster preparedness. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2021, 52: 101981,
Pubmed
[]
Sterman J, Oliva R, Linderman KW, Bendoly E. System dynamics perspectives and modeling opportunities for research in operations management. Journal of Operations Management, 2015, 39: 40
[]
Tariq MAUR, Farooq R, Van de Giesen N. A critical review of flood risk management and the selection of suitable measures. Applied Sciences, 2020, 10(23): 8752
[]
Tate E, Decker V, Just C. Evaluating collaborative readiness for interdisciplinary flood research. Risk Analysis, 2021, 41(7): 1187-1194,
Pubmed
[]
Tavasszy L, de Jong G. Tavasszy L, de Jong G. Comprehensive versus simplified models. Modelling freight transport, 2014 Amsterdam Elsevier 245-256
[]
Tranfield D, Denyer D, Smart P. Towards a methodology for developing evidence-informed management knowledge by means of systematic review. British Journal of Management, 2003, 14(3): 207-222
[]
United Nations. 2022. Fueled by rapid growth in Africa, global population hits 8 billion. The Christian Science Monitor, 15 November 2022. https://www.csmonitor.com/World/2022/1115/Fueled-by-rapid-growth-in-Africa-global-population-hits-8-billion. Accessed 4 Sept 2023.
[]
Vitale C. Understanding the shift toward a risk-based approach in flood risk management, a comparative case study of three Italian rivers. Environmental Science & Policy, 2023, 146: 13-23
[]
Vojinović, Z., Y. Abebe, A. Sanchez-Torres, N. Medina, I. Nikolic, N. Manojlovic, C. Makropoulos, and M. Pelling. 2014. Holistic flood risk assessment in coastal areas: The PEARL approach. In Proceedings of the 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, 17–21 August 2014, New York City, USA.
[]
Wang L, Cui S, Li Y, Huang H, Manandhar B, Nitivattananon V, Fang X, Huang W. A review of the flood management: From flood control to flood resilience. Heliyon, 2022, 8(11): e11763, pmcid: 9713350
Pubmed
[]
Wang Z, Zhao Y, Wang B. A bibliometric analysis of climate change adaptation based on massive research literature data. Journal of Cleaner Production, 2018, 199: 1072-1082
[]
Watson SL, Watson WR. Chapter Six: Critical systems theory for qualitative research methodology. Counterpoints, 2013, 354: 111-127
[]
WMO (World Meteorological Organization). 2022. State of climate in Africa highlights water stress and hazards. https://wmo.int/news/media-centre/state-of-climate-africa-highlights-water-stress-and-hazards. Accessed 8 Feb 2024.
[]
Wolstenholme EF, Coyle RG. The development of system dynamics as a methodology for system description and qualitative analysis. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 1983, 34(7): 569-581
[]
Yang Q, Zheng X, Jin L, Lei X, Shao B, Chen Y. Research progress of urban floods under climate change and urbanization: A scientometric analysis. Buildings, 2021, 11(12): 628
[]
Yuen B, Kumssa A. Yuen B, Kumssa A. Africa and Asia: Two of the world’s fastest-growing regions. Climate change and sustainable urban development in Africa and Asia, 2010 Dordrecht Springer 3-18
[]
Zevenbergen C, Gersonius B, Radhakrishan M. Flood resilience. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 2020, 378(2168): 20190212
[]
Ziga-Abortta, F.R., S. Kruse, B. Höllermann, and J. Ntajal. 2021. Stakeholder participation in flood-related disaster risk management in Ghana. In Proceedings of the 23rd EGU General Assembly, held online 19–30 April 2021.
[]
Zischg AP. Floodplains and complex adaptive systems—Perspectives on connecting the dots in flood risk assessment with coupled component models. Systems, 2018, 6(2): 9

Accesses

Citations

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/