Global Versus Regional Carbon Taxation: Exploring a Natural Experiment

Bodo Herzog

Green and Low-Carbon Economy ›› 2025, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (1) : 60 -67.

PDF (620KB)
Green and Low-Carbon Economy ›› 2025, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (1) :60 -67. DOI: 10.47852/bonviewGLCE42022035
RESEARCH ARTICLE
research-article
Global Versus Regional Carbon Taxation: Exploring a Natural Experiment
Author information +
History +
PDF (620KB)

Abstract

The reduction of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is a priority due to climate change. Scientists across disciplines promote carbon taxation or carbon pricing as an instrument to mitigate the negative externality of fossil energies. We exhibit two insufficiencies of today’s regulatory policy by utilizing a novel natural experiment. First, carbon taxation is only effective if it is implemented on a global scale because fossil energy markets and emissions are cross-border and global. Second, carbon taxation is based on an extrinsic mechanism and does not alter intrinsic behavior sustainably. Our applied theory and modeling approach are corroborating these findings. The present regulatory approach is doomed to fail due to overambitious European countries and unambitious (partly realistic) rest of the world. Our interdisciplinary analysis unravels a new agenda to achieve the essential aim. What is needed is a global climate club, as proposed by Nobel Laureate William Nordhaus, with a least but global GHG reduction.

Keywords

carbon taxation / climate change / global markets / intrinsic sustainability / climate club / optimal global action

Cite this article

Download citation ▾
Bodo Herzog. Global Versus Regional Carbon Taxation: Exploring a Natural Experiment. Green and Low-Carbon Economy, 2025, 3 (1) : 60-67 DOI:10.47852/bonviewGLCE42022035

登录浏览全文

4963

注册一个新账户 忘记密码

References

[1]

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change . (2023). Climate change 2022 - Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability: Working group II contribution to the sixth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. UK: Cambridge University Press.

[2]

Galbraith, E., & van den Bergh, J. (2020). Tax carbon to aid economic recovery. Nature, 581, 262. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-01500-8

[3]

Drews, S., Savin, I., & van den Bergh, J. C. (2022). Biased perceptions of other people’s attitudes to carbon taxation. Energy Policy, 167, 113051. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113051

[4]

Shapiro, A. F., & Metcalf, G. E. (2023). The macroeconomic effects of a carbon tax to meet the U.S. Paris agreement target: The role of firm creation and technology adoption. Journal of Public Economics, 218, 104800. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2022.104800

[5]

Weitzman, M. L. (2009). On modeling and interpreting the economics of catastrophic climate change. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 91(1), 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest.91.1.1

[6]

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change . (2023). AR6 synthesis report: Climate change 2023. Retrieved from: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/

[7]

Timilsina, G. R. (2022). Carbon taxes. Journal of Economic Literature, 60(4), 1456-1502. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20211560

[8]

Xu, H., Pan, X., Li, J., Feng, S., & Guo, S. (2023). Comparing the impacts of carbon tax and carbon emission trading, which regulation is more effective? Journal of Environmental Management, 330, 117156. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.117156

[9]

Feld, L. P., & Nientiedt, D. (2022). Hayekian economic policy. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 204, 457-465. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2022.10.019

[10]

Hong, Q., Cui, L., & Hong, P. (2022). The impact of carbon emissions trading on energy efficiency: Evidence from quasi-experiment in China’s carbon emissions trading pilot. Energy Economics, 110, 106025. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2022.106025

[11]

Herzog, B., & Schnee, S. (2022). Exploring a dualism of human rationality: Experimental study of a cheating contest game. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 19(13), 7675. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19137675

[12]

Sandel, M. J. (2013). Market reasoning as moral reasoning: Why economists should re-engage with political philosophy. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 27(4), 121-140. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.27.4.121

[13]

Falk, A., & Szech, N. (2013). Morals and markets. Science, 340(6133), 707-711. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1231566

[14]

Heyman, J., & Ariely, D. (2004). Effort for payment: A tale of two markets. Psychological Science, 15(11), 787-793. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0956-7976.2004.00757.x

[15]

Holmås, T. H., Kjerstad, E., Lurås, H., & Straume, O. R. (2010). Does monetary punishment crowd out pro-social motivation? A natural experiment on hospital length of stay. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 75(2), 261-267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2010.03.024

[16]

Ekelund, M., & Bergquist, M. (2023). Hotels re-explored: Experience and influence of reciprocity and social normative appeals. PLoS ONE, 18(12), e0289602. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0289602

[17]

Falk, A., Neuber, T., & Szech, N. (2020). Diffusion of being pivotal and immoral outcomes. The Review of Economic Studies, 87(5), 2205-2229. https://doi.org/10.1093/restud/rdz064

[18]

Frey, B. S., Oberholzer-Gee, F., & Eichenberger, R. (1996). The old lady visits your backyard: A tale of morals and markets. Journal of Political Economy, 104(6), 1297-1313. https://doi.org/10.1086/262060

[19]

Frey, B. S., & Oberholzer-Gee, F. (1997). The cost of price incentives: An empirical analysis of motivation crowding-out. The American Economic Review, 87(4), 746-755.

[20]

Stern, N. (2007). The economics of climate change: The Stern review. UK: Cambridge University Press.

[21]

Rode, A., Carleton, T., Delgado, M., Greenstone, M., Houser, T., Hsiang, S., ..., & Yuan, J. (2021). Estimating a social cost of carbon for global energy consumption. Nature, 598(7880), 308-314. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03883-8

[22]

Nordhaus, W. (2015). Climate clubs: Overcoming free-riding in international climate policy. American Economic Review, 105(4), 1339-1370. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.15000001

[23]

Pretis, F. (2022). Does a carbon tax reduce CO2 emissions? Evidence from British Columbia. Environmental and Resource Economics, 83(1), 115-144. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-022-00679-w

[24]

Pan, J., Du, L., Wu, H., & Liu, X. (2024). Does environmental law enforcement supervision improve corporate carbon reduction performance? Evidence from environmental protection interview. Energy Economics, 132, 107441. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2024.107441

[25]

Andersson, J. J. (2019). Carbon taxes and CO2 emissions: Sweden as a case study. American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, 11(4), 1-30. https://doi.org/10.1257/pol.20170144

[26]

Liu, W., Li, Y., Liu, T., Liu, M., & Wei, H. (2021). How to promote low-carbon economic development? A comprehensive assessment of carbon tax policy in China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(20), 10699. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph182010699

[27]

Metcalf, G. E. (2019). On the economics of a carbon tax for the United States. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2019(1), 405-484. https://doi.org/10.1353/eca.2019.0005

[28]

Ptak, M., Neneman, J., & Roszkowska, S. (2024). The impact of petrol and diesel oil taxes in EU member states on CO2 emissions from passenger cars. Scientific Reports, 14(1), 52. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-50456-y

[29]

Baylis, K., Fullerton, D., & Karney, D. H. (2013). Leakage, welfare, and cost-effectiveness of carbon policy. American Economic Review, 103(3), 332-337. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.3.332

[30]

Xu, L., Fan, M., Yang, L., & Shao, S. (2021). Heterogeneous green innovations and carbon emission performance: Evidence at China’s city level. Energy Economics, 99, 105269. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105269

[31]

The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. (2015). Paris Agreement. Retrieved from: https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/english_paris_agreement.pdf

[32]

Aldy, J. E. (2020). Carbon tax review and updating: Institutionalizing an Act-Learn-Act approach to U.S. climate policy. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 14(1), 76-94. https://doi.org/10.1093/reep/rez019

[33]

Mintz-Woo, K. (2024). Carbon tax ethics. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 15(1), e858. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.858

[34]

Klenert, D., Funke, F., Mattauch, L., & O’Callaghan, B. (2020). Five lessons from COVID-19 for advancing climate change mitigation. Environmental and Resource Economics, 76, 751-778. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10640-020-00453-w

[35]

Gokhale, H. (2021). Japan’s carbon tax policy: Limitations and policy suggestions. Current Research in Environmental Sustainability, 3, 100082. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crsust.2021.100082

[36]

Jakob, M. (2021). Climate policy and international trade-A critical appraisal of the literature. Energy Policy, 156, 112399. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112399

[37]

Bertoldi, P. (2022). Policies for energy conservation and sufficiency: Review of existing policies and recommendations for new and effective policies in OECD countries. Energy and Buildings, 264, 112075. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbuild.2022.112075

[38]

Abrell, J., Bilici, S., Blesl, M., Fahl, U., Kattelmann, F., Kittel, L., ..., & Siegle, J. (2024). Optimal allocation of the EU carbon budget: A multi-model assessment. Energy Strategy Reviews, 51, 101271. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2023.101271

[39]

Metcalf, G. E., & Stock, J. H. (2020). Measuring the macroeconomic impact of carbon taxes. AEA Papers and Proceedings, 110, 101-106. https://doi.org/10.1257/pandp.20201081

[40]

Samuelson, P. A. (1954). Diagrammatic: The pure theory of public expenditure. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 36(4), 387-389. https://doi.org/10.2307/1925895

[41]

Sun, Y., & Razzaq, A. (2022). Composite fiscal decentralisation and green innovation: Imperative strategy for institutional reforms and sustainable development in OECD countries. Sustainable Development, 30(5), 944-957. https://doi.org/10.1002/sd.2292

[42]

Miskin, E. S. (2008). Mechanism design: How to implement social goals. American Economic Review, 98(3), 567-576. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.98.3.567

[43]

Buchanan, J. M. (1965). An economic theory of clubs. Economica, 32(125), 1-14. https://doi.org/10.2307/2552442

[44]

Seo, S. N. (2020). The economics of globally shared and public goods. Netherlands: Elsevier Science.

[45]

Pigou, A. C. (1920). Co-operative societies and income tax. The Economic Journal, 30(118), 156-162. https://doi.org/10.2307/2223009

[46]

Coase, R. H. (1960). The problem of social cost. The Journal of Law and Economics, 3, 1-44.

[47]

The International Energy Agency . (2024). CO2 emissions in 2023. Retrieved from: https://www.iea.org/reports/co2-emissions-in-2023

[48]

Ball, P. (2021). Nobel-winning ‘natural experiments’ approach made economics more robust. Nature. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-02799-7

[49]

Böhringer, C., Fischer, C., Rosendahl, K. E., & Rutherford, T. F. (2022). Potential impacts and challenges of border carbon adjustments. Nature Climate Change, 12(1), 22-29. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01250-z

[50]

Többen, J., Pichler, P. P., Jaccard, I. S., Kratena, K., Moran, D., Zheng, H., & Weisz, H. (2023). Unequal carbon tax impacts on 38 million German households: Assessing spatial and socio-economic hotspots. Environmental Research: Climate, 2(4), 045006. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/aceea0

[51]

Mandaroux, R., Schindelhauer, K., & Mama, H. B. (2023). How to reinforce the effectiveness of the EU emissions trading system in stimulating low-carbon technological change? Taking stock and future directions. Energy Policy, 181, 113697. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113697

[52]

Acemoglu, D., & Rafey, W. (2023). Mirage on the horizon: Geoengineering and carbon taxation without commitment. Journal of Public Economics, 219, 104802. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2022.104802

PDF (620KB)

12

Accesses

0

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/