Exchange Rate Flexibility and Current Account Adjustment: A Threshold VAR Analysis
Yu You , Zongye Huang , Yoonbai Kim
Front. Econ. China ›› 2016, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (4) : 635 -667.
Exchange Rate Flexibility and Current Account Adjustment: A Threshold VAR Analysis
Global imbalances (current account imbalances) have become an important issue for economists and policy makers. Greater exchange rate flexibility is often suggested as a means to achieve faster and more efficient adjustment in the current account. However, previous empirical studies show little support for this hypothesis. This paper revisits this issue with a large panel dataset and a threshold VAR model and finds that (1) some existing popular exchange rate classifications may not capture actual exchange rate variability as well as expected; (2) Once exchange rate variability is correctly identified, the speed of mean reversion in the current account balance is indeed higher in a regime with greater exchange rate variability.
global imbalances / current account / exchange rate regimes / threshold VAR
Higher Education Press
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |
PDF
(3721KB)
