The relationship among money supply, banking lending and aggregate demand in China: 1994-2006

LI Qiong , WANG Zhiwei

Front. Econ. China ›› 2008, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (4) : 497 -512.

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Front. Econ. China ›› 2008, Vol. 3 ›› Issue (4) : 497 -512. DOI: 10.1007/s11459-008-0024-6
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The relationship among money supply, banking lending and aggregate demand in China: 1994-2006

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Abstract

Based on the framework of Bernanke & Blinader (1988) and Walsh (2003), this paper provides a concise analysis for relationship among money supply, banking lending and aggregate demand; and makes an empirical test on relationship among China’s money supply, banking lending and aggregate demand from 1994 to 2006 by adopting the single-equation regressive model and vector autoregressive model in terms of Keynesian structural model and monetarism simplified model. The result shows that money supply and banking lending have both played a driving role on real economy. Because of non-market interest rates, Keynesian structural model cannot explain the transmission mechanism of China monetary policies better than monetarism simplified model.

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money supply / banking lending / aggregate demand

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LI Qiong, WANG Zhiwei. The relationship among money supply, banking lending and aggregate demand in China: 1994-2006. Front. Econ. China, 2008, 3(4): 497-512 DOI:10.1007/s11459-008-0024-6

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