An analysis of the consumption risk and asset returns of Chinese residents

Abstract

The research on the consumption-based asset pricing theory is limited to the developed capital markets. This paper seeks to extend the research to the Chinese developing capital market. It analyzes the dynamic relationship between the Chinese residents  consumption, stock market returns and interest rates with the CCAPM. According to the analyses of this paper, the IV regression results are mixed. However, the data can fit the model relatively well, and the empirical results fail to reject the model. Thus, the results show that a relationship between the Chinese residents  consumption growth rates and the asset returns does indeed exist, and that the consumption volatility risk could influence the asset returns.