External benchmarking of lung ultrasound models for pneumothorax-related signs: A manifest-based multi-source study

Takehiro Ishikawa

Clinical and Translational Discovery ›› 2026, Vol. 6 ›› Issue (3) : e70152

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Clinical and Translational Discovery ›› 2026, Vol. 6 ›› Issue (3) :e70152 DOI: 10.1002/ctd2.70152
RESEARCH ARTICLE
External benchmarking of lung ultrasound models for pneumothorax-related signs: A manifest-based multi-source study
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Abstract

Background and aims: Reproducible external benchmarks for pneumothorax-related lung ultrasound (LUS) AI are scarce, and binary lung-sliding classification may obscure clinically important signs. We therefore developed a manifest-based external benchmark and used it to test both cross-domain generalisation and task validity.

Methods: We curated 280 clips from 190 publicly accessible LUS source videos and released a reconstruction manifest containing URLs, timestamps, crop coordinates, labels, and probe shape. Labels were normal lung sliding, absent lung sliding, lung point, and lung pulse. A previously published single-site binary classifier was evaluated on this benchmark; challenge-state analysis examined lung point and lung pulse using the predicted probability of absent sliding, P(absent).

Results: The single-site comparator achieved Receiver Operating Characteristic–Area Under the Curve (ROC-AUC) 0.9625 in-domain but 0.7050 on the heterogeneous external benchmark; restricting external evaluation to linear clips still yielded ROC-AUC 0.7212. In challenge-state analysis, mean P(absent) ranked absent (0.504) > lung point (0.313) > normal (0.186) > lung pulse (0.143). Lung pulse differed from absent clips (p = 0.000470) but not from normal clips (p = 0.813), indicating that the binary model treated pulse as normal-like despite absent sliding. Lung point differed from both absent (p = 0.000468) and normal (p = 0.000026), supporting its interpretation as an intermediate ambiguity state rather than a clean binary class.

Conclusion: A manifest-based, multi-source benchmark can support reproducible external evaluation without redistributing source videos. Binary lung-sliding classification is an incomplete proxy for pneumothorax reasoning because it obscures blind-spot and ambiguity states, such as lung pulse and lung point.

Keywords

external validation / lung point / lung pulse / lung sliding / lung ultrasound / pneumothorax

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Takehiro Ishikawa. External benchmarking of lung ultrasound models for pneumothorax-related signs: A manifest-based multi-source study. Clinical and Translational Discovery, 2026, 6 (3) : e70152 DOI:10.1002/ctd2.70152

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2026 The Author(s). Clinical and Translational Discovery published by John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd on behalf of Shanghai Institute of Clinical Bioinformatics.

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