Dynamical analysis of SIR model with Gamma distribution delay driven by Lévy noise and switching

Jing Yang , Shaojuan Ma , Dongmei Wei

Electronic Research Archive ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5) : 3158 -3176.

PDF (825KB)
Electronic Research Archive ›› 2025, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (5) :3158 -3176. DOI: 10.3934/era.2025138
Research article
research-article
Dynamical analysis of SIR model with Gamma distribution delay driven by Lévy noise and switching
Author information +
History +
PDF (825KB)

Abstract

Considering the distributed time delay and the stochastic change of environment, this research primarily studied the dynamical behavior of the gamma-distributed delay SIR model driven by Lévy noise and Markov chain. First, it is proved that there is a unique global positive solution for stochastic model. Second, by constructing appropriate stochastic Lyapunov functions that account for regime switching, we derive a sufficient condition, Rs > 1, indicating the existence of a stationary distribution. This suggests the disease will persist over a long period. Finally, numerical simulations confirm the theoretical findings.

Keywords

SIR model / distributed delay / Markov switching / Lévy noise / stationary distribution

Cite this article

Download citation ▾
Jing Yang, Shaojuan Ma, Dongmei Wei. Dynamical analysis of SIR model with Gamma distribution delay driven by Lévy noise and switching. Electronic Research Archive, 2025, 33 (5) : 3158-3176 DOI:10.3934/era.2025138

登录浏览全文

4963

注册一个新账户 忘记密码

References

[1]

S. Dong, L. Xu, Y. A, Z. Lan, D. Xiao, B. Gao, Application of a time-delay SIR model with vaccination in COVID-19 prediction and its optimal control strategy, Nonlinear Dyn., 111 (2023), 10677-10692. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-023-08308-x

[2]

H. K. Ebraheem, N. Alkhateeb, H. Badran, E. Sultan, Delayed dynamics of SIR model for COVID-19, Open J. Modell. Simul., 9 (2021), 146-158. https://doi.org/10.4236/ojmsi.2021.92010

[3]

W. O. Kermack, A. G. McKendrick, A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics, Proc. R. Soc. London, Ser. A, 115 (1927), 700-721. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1927.0118

[4]

Q. Liu, D. Jiang, T. Hayat, A. Alsaedi, Dynamics of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with distributed delay and degenerate diffusion, J. Franklin Inst., 356 (2019), 7347-7370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfranklin.2019.06.030

[5]

M. De la Sen, S. Alonso-Quesada, A. Ibeas, On the stability of an SEIR epidemic model with distributed time-delay and a general class of feedback vaccination rules, Appl. Math. Comput., 270 (2015), 953-976. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2015.08.099

[6]

M. Li, X. Liu, An SIR epidemic model with time delay and general nonlinear incidence rate, Abstr. Appl. Anal., 1 (2014), 131257. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/131257

[7]

Attaullah, K. Mahdi, M. Yavuz, S. Boulaaras, M. Haiour, V. Pham, Computational approaches on integrating vaccination and treatment strategies in the SIR model using Galerkin time discretization scheme, Math. Comput. Modell. Dyn. Syst., 30 (2024), 758-791. https://doi.org/10.1080/13873954.2024.2405504

[8]

G. Zaman, Y. H. Kang, I. H. Jung, Optimal treatment of an SIR epidemic model with time delay, Biosystems, 98 (2009), 43-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystems.2009.05.006

[9]

N. A. Kudryashov, M. A. Chmykhov, M. Vigdorowitsch, Analytical features of the SIR model and their applications to COVID-19, Appl. Math. Modell., 90 (2021), 466-473. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2020.08.057

[10]

A. Kumar, K. Goel, Nilam, A deterministic time-delayed SIR epidemic model: mathematical modeling and analysis, Theory Biosci., 139 (2020), 67-76. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12064-019-00300-7

[11]

Z. Yaagoub, K. Allali, Global stability of multi-strain SEIR epidemic model with vaccination strategy, Math. Comput. Appl., 28 (2023), 9. https://doi.org/10.3390/mca28010009

[12]

O. Krylova, D. J. Earn, Effects of the infectious period distribution on predicted transitions in childhood disease dynamics, J. R. Soc. Interface, 10 (2013), 20130098. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2013.0098

[13]

F. Wang, X. Wang, S. Zhang, C. Ding, On pulse vaccine strategy in a periodic stochastic SIR epidemic model, Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 66 (2014), 127-135. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2014.06.003

[14]

Y. Cai, Y. Kang, W. Wang, A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate, Appl. Math. Comput., 305 (2022), 221-240. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2017.02.003

[15]

M. Nźi, I. Yattara, The dynamics of a delayed deterministic and stochastic epidemic SIR models with a saturated incidence rate, Random Oper. Stochastic Equations, 26 (2018), 235-245. https://doi.org/10.1515/rose-2018-0021

[16]

K. Sato, K. Sawaki, An optimal policy for lockdown periods in a pandemic based on the stochastic SIR model with time delay, in Probability and Statistical Models in Operations Research, Computer and Management Sciences, Springer Series in Reliability Engineering, Springer, Cham, (2024), 17-39. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-64597-62

[17]

C. Ji, D. Jiang, Threshold behaviour of a stochastic SIR model, Appl. Math. Modell., 38 (2014), 5067-5079. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2014.03.037

[18]

M. Yavuz, L. Boulaasair, H. Bouzahir, M. A. Diop, B. Benaid, The impact of two independent gaussian white noises on the behavior of a stochastic epidemic model, J. Appl. Math. Comput. Mech., 23 (2024), 121-134. https://doi.org/10.17512/jamcm.2024.1.10

[19]

N. H. Du, N. N. Nhu . Permanence and extinction for the stochastic SIR epidemic model, J. Differ. Equations, 269 (2020), 9619-9652. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jde.2020.06.049

[20]

F. Wang, T. Li, Dynamics of a stochastic epidemic model with information intervention and vertical transmission, Electron. Res. Arch., 32 (2024), 3700-3727. https://doi.org/10.3934/era.2024168

[21]

W. Li, B. Wang, D. Huang, V. Rajic, J. Zhao, Dynamical properties of a stochastic tumor-immune model with comprehensive pulsed therapy, Commun. Nonlinear Sci. Numer. Simul., 140 (2024), 108330. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2024.108330

[22]

N. T. Dieu, D. H. Nguyen, N. H. Du, G. Yin, Classification of asymptotic behavior in a stochastic SIR model, SIAM J. Appl. Dyn. Syst., 15 (2016), 1062-1084. https://doi.org/10.1137/15M1043315

[23]

B. E. Berrhazi, M. El Fatini, T. Caraballo, R. Pettersson, A stochastic SIRI epidemic model with Lévy noise, Discrete Contin. Dyn. Syst. - Ser. B, 23 (2018), 3645-3661. https://doi.org/10.3934/dcdsb.2018057

[24]

N. Privault, L. Wang, Stochastic SIR Lévy jump model with heavy-tailed increments, J. Nonlinear Sci., 31 (2021), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00332-020-09670-5

[25]

D. Kiouach, Y. Sabbar, The long-time behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with distributed delay and multidimensional Lévy jumps, Int. J. Biomath., 15 (2022), 2250004. https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793524522500048

[26]

Q. Yang, X. Zhang, D. Jiang, Asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR model with general incidence rate and nonlinear Lévy jumps, Nonlinear Dyn., 107 (2022), 2975-2993. https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793524522500048

[27]

Y. Zhou, W. Zhang, Threshold of a stochastic SIR epidemic model with Lévy jumps, Physica A, 446 (2016), 204-216. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2015.11.023

[28]

Y. Zhou, S. Yuan, D. Zhao, Threshold behavior of a stochastic SIS model with Lévy jumps, Appl. Math. Comput., 275 (2016), 255-267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2014.03.037

[29]

J. Danane, M. Yavuz, M. Yıldız, Stochastic modeling of three-species prey-predator model driven by Lévy jump with mixed Holling-II and Beddington-DeAngelis functional responses, Fractal Fract., 7 (2023), 751. https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract7100751

[30]

S. Li, SIR epidemic model with general nonlinear incidence rate and Lévy jumps, Mathematics, 12 (2024), 215. https://doi.org/10.3390/math12020215

[31]

Q. Liu, D. Jiang, N. Shi, Threshold behavior in a stochastic SIQR epidemic model with standard incidence and regime switching, Appl. Math. Comput., 316 (2018), 310-325. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2017.08.042

[32]

W. Wei, W. Xu, J. Liu, A regime-switching stochastic SIR epidemic model with a saturated incidence and limited medical resources, Int. J. Biomath., 16 (2023), 2250124. https://doi.org/10.1142/s1793524522501248

[33]

M. Jin, Y. Lin, M. Pei, Asymptotic behavior of a regime-switching SIR epidemic model with degenerate diffusion, Adv. Differ. Equ., 2018 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-018-1505-2

[34]

D. Li, S. Liu, Threshold dynamics and ergodicity of an SIRS epidemic model with Markovian switching, J. Differ. Equations, 263 (2017), 8873-8915. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jde.2017.08.066

[35]

A. Gray, D. Greenhalgh, X. Mao, J. Pan, The SIS epidemic model with Markovian switching, J. Math. Anal. Appl., 394 (2012), 496-516. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2012.05.029

[36]

Y. Kang, Y. Fu, Y. Chen, Signal-to-noise ratio gain of an adaptive neuron model with Gamma renewal synaptic input, Acta Mech. Sin., 38 (2022), 521347. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10409-021-09029-6

[37]

J. E. Sereno, A. D´Jorge, A. Ferramosca, E. A. Hernandez-Vargas, A. H. González, Model predictive control for optimal social distancing in a type SIR-switched model. IFAC-PapersOnLine, 54 (2021), 251-256. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.264

[38]

T. Caraballo, M. El Fatini, M. G. El Khalifi, R. Gerlach, R. Pettersson, Analysis of a stochastic distributed delay epidemic model with relapse and gamma distribution kernel, Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 133 (2020), 109643. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2020.109643

[39]

C. Liu, Y. Tian, P. Chen, L. Cheung, Stochastic dynamic effects of media coverage and incubation on a distributed delayed epidemic system with Lévy jumps, Chaos, Solitons Fractals, 182 (2024), 114781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2024.114781

[40]

D. Kuang, Q. Yin, J. Li, The threshold of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with general incidence rate under regime-switching, J. Franklin Inst., 360 (2023), 13624-13647. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfranklin.2022.04.027

PDF (825KB)

0

Accesses

0

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/

〈 〉