Artificial Intelligence for Predicting Delivery Modes: A Systematic Review of Applications, Challenges, and Future Directions
Yu Zhou , Jing Li , Xiaomei Hou , Zhen Li , Yanan Xu , Yan Wang , Mingze Sun , Fumin Zheng , Enhui Guo , Jun Zhou
Clinical and Experimental Obstetrics & Gynecology ›› 2025, Vol. 52 ›› Issue (7) : 37807
The application of artificial intelligence (AI) in medicine has advanced significantly, particularly in obstetrics, where it plays an increasingly prominent role in predicting modes of delivery and assessment of maternal risks. AI-assisted prediction of delivery modes, a cutting-edge field at the intersection of medicine and computer science, aims to support clinicians in making more accurate and safer delivery decisions by utilizing advanced AI technologies and big data analytics. With increasing individual variability among pregnant women, traditional clinical experience is often insufficient to meet the requirements of personalized medicine; therefore, establishing a scientific prediction model is particularly crucial. This systematic review aims to evaluate the current state of research on AI-assisted prediction of delivery modes, compare AI predictions and traditional statistical methods, and propose future research directions.
A comprehensive literature search was conducted in the PubMed, Web of Science, and ScienceDirect databases, encompassing publications up to November 2024.
Analysis of existing studies demonstrates that AI models outperform conventional statistical methods in predicting delivery modes, highlighting their potential as valuable tools in obstetric diagnosis and clinical decision-making. However, several critical limitations persist in current research, including: (a) the absence of real-time decision support during dynamic labor progression; (b) insufficient multi-center collaboration and a lack of external validation frameworks; and (c) inadequate standardization of clinical parameters (e.g. inconsistent definitions of cervical dilation thresholds and fetal descent metrics). These methodological gaps limit the clinical applicability and generalizability of AI-driven predictive systems across diverse obstetric populations and care settings.
Future research should prioritize data standardization and sharing, enhance the generalizability of prediction models, address ethical considerations, and ensure the fairness and transparency of AI algorithms to improve clinical trust and applicability.
The study has been registered on https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ (registration number: CRD420251068005).
artificial intelligence / mode of delivery prediction / cesarean section / natural childbirth / obstetrics / machine learning
4.1.2.1 Data Quality and Security
Delivery is a dynamic process. Some unpredictable variables may appear during labour thereby affecting the final outcome. During the labor process, the selection of delivery mode and maternal-fetal outcomes are influenced by a constellation of factors, including objective maternal-fetal parameters, environmental variables, and maternal subjective perceptions. Investigations must comprehensively account for the influence of these multifaceted variables on predictive outcomes. However, inherent methodological limitations inevitably arise in such studies. Current research has predominantly focused on static data parameters, while neglecting the monitoring of dynamic physiological indicators such as fetal heart rate variability and cervical dilation progression. Future studies incorporating these time-varying parameters could significantly enhance the predictive accuracy of delivery mode outcomes.
In addition, the NOS quality assessment reveals that while single-center studies may control for confounding factors influencing delivery mode prediction during labor, multicenter study designs enhance methodological rigor. However, current healthcare data quality exhibits significant heterogeneity across medical institutions, with multimodal data (e.g., electronic health records, imaging, and monitoring signals) suffering from inconsistent acquisition standards and insufficient structuralization, thereby constraining the generalizability of AI-based predictive models. Future research should prioritize establishing a tripartite framework to address these limitations: (1) Standardized Data Acquisition Protocol Development: Implement lifecycle-wide standardized protocols aligned with Health Level Seven Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources (HL7 FHIR) specifications to unify perinatal data element definitions (e.g., gestational age measurement rules, delivery mode coding systems). Leverage natural language processing (NLP) techniques to extract structured insights from unstructured labor progression narratives. Concurrently deploy intelligent validation engines for real-time monitoring of data completeness and logical consistency. (2) Privacy-Enhanced Data Sharing Mechanisms: Enable cross-institutional collaborative modeling through federated learning frameworks. Integrate homomorphic encryption and secure multi-party computation (SMPC) to ensure “data usability without visibility” of raw datasets. Implement dynamic de-identification for high-risk pregnancy data. Establish data consortia with governance rules for contribution assessment and ethical oversight. (3) Source-Level Data Quality Control: Directly interface Internet of things (IoT)-enabled devices (e.g., fetal monitors, ultrasound systems) to automate time-series data acquisition and real-time calibration. Systematically reduce manual entry errors through sensor-to-database pipelines. Collectively, these interventions would substantially enhance data utility and lay critical foundations for developing generalizable predictive models.
4.1.2.2 Generalization Ability of Prediction Models
The global obstetric field currently faces significant regional disparities in healthcare resource allocation: variations in medical standards, professional competencies of healthcare providers, and region-specific care delivery models persist across nations and institutions. Maternal and neonatal healthcare outcomes in high-income regions markedly surpass those in low-resource settings, reflecting both technological gradients and strong correlations with regional economic development. Existing perinatal health prediction models predominantly derive from single-center datasets, exhibiting critical limitations in generalizability and cross-institutional interoperability that constrain clinical translation efficacy.
To address these challenges, we propose a “multi-center collaboration technological empowerment” framework. (1) Establishment of Transnational Perinatal Data Networks: Develop unified perinatal data standards (e.g., diagnostic coding for pregnancy complications, neonatal outcome metrics) through international consensus. Aggregate multi-center clinical data spanning diverse economic contexts to construct standardized datasets covering preconception, antenatal, and postpartum phases. (2) Implementation of Privacy-Preserving AI Architectures: Deploy federated learning systems for distributed model training without raw data transfer. Integrate homomorphic encryption and differential privacy mechanisms to safeguard patient confidentiality. (3) Blockchain-Enhanced Data Equity Solutions: Create blockchain-driven data sharing platforms with contributor recognition protocols. Implement contribution-weighted benefit allocation to ensure equitable representation of low-resource regions in model development.
This integrated approach effectively mitigates single-center study biases, enhances model adaptability across heterogeneous healthcare environments, and provides scalable technical infrastructure for global maternal-neonatal health optimization.
4.1.2.3 Ethical and Social Implications
In the clinical implementation of AI-assisted delivery mode prediction, robust data sharing mechanisms and standardization frameworks serve as foundational prerequisites for algorithmic optimization and model development. Current obstetric data systems are plagued by core challenges including multi-source heterogeneity, inconsistent standards, and cross-institutional sharing barriers. Without standardized data governance, algorithmic fairness and model generalizability remain fundamentally compromised. We propose implementing a comprehensive data stewardship framework through the following steps. (1) Standardized Perinatal Data Protocols: Develop unified data collection guidelines specifying critical delivery-related metrics (e.g., pelvimetry parameters, labor progression staging), aligned with international standards such as HL7 FHIR for structured interoperability. Establish definitive coding schemas for obstetric indicators through multidisciplinary consensus. (2) Secure Cross-Institutional Collaboration Infrastructure: Deploy federated learning architectures for distributed model training without raw data transfer. Integrate homomorphic encryption and dynamic de-identification techniques to preserve patient confidentiality. Implement quantifiable data contribution assessment mechanisms to incentivize multi-center participation.
Building upon this technical foundation, addressing ethical and societal implications requires prioritized attention. (1) Algorithmic Transparency: Ensure interpretability of feature weights in delivery prediction models through XAI frameworks. (2) Medicolegal Accountability: Formalize legal liability delineation protocols for human-AI decision conflicts. (3) Patient-Centric Governance: Establish dynamic consent management systems for continuous data usage authorization.
Concurrent interdisciplinary collaboration among medical ethics boards, AI developers, and clinical practitioners is imperative to formulate obstetric-specific AI governance guidelines. This tripartite synergy enhances clinician-patient acceptance of predictive systems while balancing technological innovation with ethical imperatives, ultimately fostering responsible integration of AI in maternal care.
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Qingdao Outstanding Health Professional Development Fund
Clinical Medicine +X Scientific Research Project of the Affiliated Hospital of the Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University(QDFY+X2024111)
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