Use of catastrophe theory models for the forecasting of agricultural equipment reliability

S. P Burlankov , P. S Burlankov

Tractors and Agricultural Machinery ›› 2012, Vol. 79 ›› Issue (10) : 36 -38.

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Tractors and Agricultural Machinery ›› 2012, Vol. 79 ›› Issue (10) :36 -38. DOI: 10.17816/0321-4443-66001
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Use of catastrophe theory models for the forecasting of agricultural equipment reliability

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Abstract

The theory of dynamical systems and such catastrophe theory models as «fold» and «assembly» are considered. Divergence properties of the «assembly» catastrophe are illustrated. An alternative hypothesis is found under the analysis of the «assembly» model: the number of defective and failure machines reflects the level of their technical operation and is related to the quality of machines’ production, their maintenance and repair, as well as to the specific load on machine.

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catastrophe theory / catastrophe theory models / agricultural machines / reliability / operation

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S. P Burlankov, P. S Burlankov. Use of catastrophe theory models for the forecasting of agricultural equipment reliability. Tractors and Agricultural Machinery, 2012, 79(10): 36-38 DOI:10.17816/0321-4443-66001

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Томпсон Дж.М.Т. Неустойчивости и катастрофы в науке и технике: Пер. с англ. – М.: Мир, 1985.

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Арнольд В.И. Теория катастроф. – Берлин: Спринтер-ферланд, 1992.

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Гилмор Р. Теория катастроф для ученых и инженеров. – Нью-Йорк: Дувр, 1993.

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Постон Т., Стюарт И. Теория катастроф и её приложения. – М.: Мир, 1980.

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Burlankov S.P., Burlankov P.S.

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