Winter–spring minimum temperature variations inferred from tree-ring δ13C in southeastern China
Winter–spring minimum temperature variations inferred from tree-ring δ13C in southeastern China
Long-term temperature variations inferred from high-resolution proxies provide an important context to evaluate the intensity of current warming. However, temperature reconstructions in humid southeastern China are scarce and particularly lack long-term data, limiting us to obtain a complete picture of regional temperature evolution. In this study, we present a well-verified reconstruction of winter-spring (January–April) minimum temperatures over southeastern China based on stable carbon isotopic (δ13C) records of tree rings from Taxus wallichiana var. mairei from 1860 to 2014. This reconstruction accounted for 56.4% of the total observed variance. Cold periods occurred during the 1860s–1910s and 1960s–1970s. Although temperatures have had an upward trend since the 1920s, most of the cold extremes were in recent decades. The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variance acted as a key modulator of regional winter-spring minimum temperature variability. However, teleconnections between them were a nonlinear process, i.e., a reduced or enhanced ENSO variance may result in a weakened or intensified temperature-ENSO relationship.
Tree rings / Carbon isotope / Southeastern China / Extreme coldness / El nino-southern oscillation
[1] | Ammann CM, Wahl ER (2007) The importance of the geophysical context in statistical evaluations of climate reconstruction procedures. Clim Change 85(1–2):71–88. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-007-9276-x |
[2] | Bj?rklund J, Seftigen K, Stoffel M, Fonti MV, Kottlow S, Frank DC, Esper J, Fonti P, Goosse H, Grudd H, Gunnarson BE, Nievergelt D, Pellizzari E, Carrer M, von Arx G (2023) Fennoscandian tree-ring anatomy shows a warmer modern than medieval climate. Nature 620(7972):97–103. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06176-4 |
[3] | Büntgen U, Kyncl T, Ginzler C, Jacks DS, Esper J, Tegel W, Heussner K, Kyncl J (2013) Filling the Eastern European gap in millennium-long temperature reconstructions. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 110(5):1773–1778. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1211485110 |
[4] | Büntgen U, Urban O, Krusic PJ, Rybní?ek M, Kolá? T, Kyncl T, A? A, Koňasová E, ?áslavsky J, Esper J, Wagner S, Saurer M, Tegel W, Dobrovolny P, Cherubini P, Reinig F, Trnka M (2021) Recent European drought extremes beyond Common Era background variability. Nat Geosci 14(4):190–196. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-021-00698-0 |
[5] | Cai QF, Liu Y (2017) Two centuries temperature variations over subtropical southeast China inferred from Hayata tree-ring width. Clim Dyn 48(5–6):1813–1825. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3174-8 |
[6] | Cai QF, Liu Y, Duan BC, Sun CF (2018) Regional difference of the start time of the recent warming in Eastern China: prompted by a 165-year temperature record deduced from tree rings in the Dabie Mountains. Clim Dyn 50(5–6):2157–2168. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3741-7 |
[7] | Cai QF, Qian HJ, Liu Y, Fang CX, Zhang HY, Li Q, Sun CF, Song HM, Liu RS, Sun JY (2021) Recent intensification of hydroclimatic change in the middle reaches of the Yangtz River Basin driven by PDO. ENSO WPSH Clim Dyn 58(5–6):1775–1790. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05990-8 |
[8] | Chen F, Man WM, Wang SJ, Esper J, Meko D, Büntgen U, Yuan YJ, Hadad M, Hu M, Zhao XE, Roig FA, Fang OY, Chen YP, Zhang HL, Shang HM, Yu SL, Luo X, He DM, Chen FH (2023) Southeast Asian ecological dependency on Tibetan Plateau streamflow over the last millennium. Nat Geosci 16(12):1151–1158. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-023-01320-1 |
[9] | Chen SY, Zhang YX, Xia Q, Bai DY, Zhang XF (2009) Analysis of relationship between winter air temperature in eastern China and sea surface temperature anomaly. Plateau Meteorol 28(5):1181–1188. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1003-6326(09)60084-4 |
[10] | Cook ER, Kairiukstis LA (1990) Methods of dendrochronology: applications in the environmental sciences. Springer, New York |
[11] | Coplen TB (1995) Discontinuance of SMOW and PDB. Nature 375(6529):285–285. https://doi.org/10.1038/375285a0 |
[12] | D’Arrigo R, Wilson R, Jacoby G (2006) On the long-term context for late twentieth century warming. J Geophys Res Atmos 111(D3):D03103. https://doi.org/10.1029/2005jd006352 |
[13] | Ding YH, Wang ZY, Song YF, Zhang J (2008) Causes of the unprecedented freezing disaster in January 2008 and its possible association with the global warming. Acta Meteorol Sin 5:808–825 |
[14] | Duan JP, Zhang QB, Lv LX, Zhang C (2012) Regional-scale winter-spring temperature variability and chilling damage dynamics over the past two centuries in southeastern China. Clim Dyn 39(3–4):919–928. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1232-9 |
[15] | Duan JP, Zhang QB, Lv LX (2013) Increased variability in cold-season temperature since the 1930s in subtropical China. J Clim 26(13):4749–4757. https://doi.org/10.1175/Jcli-D-12-00332.1 |
[16] | Esper J, Cook ER, Schweingruber FH (2002) Low-frequency signals in long tree-ring chronologies for reconstructing past temperature variability. Science 295(5563):2250–2253. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1066208 |
[17] | Farquhar GD, O’Leary MH, Berry JA (1982) On the relationship between carbon isotope discrimination and the intercellular carbon dioxide concentration in leaves. Funct Plant Biol 9:121–137. https://doi.org/10.1071/PP9820121 |
[18] | Freychet N, Tett SFB, Abatan AA, Schurer A, Feng Z (2021) Widespread persistent extreme cold events over south-east China: mechanisms, trends, and attribution. J Geophys Res Atmos 126(1):e2020JD033447. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JD033447 |
[19] | Freyer HD, Belacy N (1983) 13C/12C records in northern hemispheric trees during the past 500 years—anthropogenic impact and climatic superpositions. J Geophys Res-Oceans 88(C11):6844–6852. https://doi.org/10.1029/JC088iC11p06844 |
[20] | Gagen M, McCarroll D, Loader NJ, Robertson L, Jalkanen R, Anchukaitis KJ (2007) Exorcising the “segment length curse”: Summer temperature reconstruction since AD 1640 using non-detrended stable carbon isotope ratios from pine trees in northern Finland. Holocene 17(4):435–446. https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683607077012 |
[21] | Guillet S, Corona C, Stoffel M, Khodri M, Lavigne F, Ortega P, Eckert N, Sielenou PD, Daux V, Churakova OV, Davi N, Edouard JL, Zhang Y, Luckman BH, Myglan VS, Guiot J, Beniston M, Masson-Delmotte V, Oppenheimer C (2017) Climate response to the Samalas volcanic eruption in 1257 revealed by proxy records. Nat Geosci 10(2):123–128. https://doi.org/10.1038/Ngeo2875 |
[22] | Guo GY, Fang KY, Li JB, Linderholm HW, Li DW, Zhou FF, Dong ZP, Li YJ, Wang L (2018) Increasing intrinsic water-use efficiency over the past 160 years does not stimulate tree growth in Southeastern China. Clim Res 76:115–130. https://doi.org/10.3354/CR01526 |
[23] | Hao ZX, Zheng JY, Ge QS, Ding LL (2011) Variations of extreme cold winter events in southern China in the past 400 years. Acta Geogr Sin 66(11):1479–1485. https://doi.org/10.11821/xb201111004 |
[24] | Harris I, Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Lister DH (2014) Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations—the CRU TS3.10 Dataset. Int J Climatol 34(3):623–642. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3711 |
[25] | Hegerl GC, Crowley TJ, Allen M, Hyde WT, Pollack HN, Smerdon J, Zorita E (2007) Detection of human influence on a new, validated 1500-year temperature reconstruction. J Clim 20(4):650–666. https://doi.org/10.1175/Jcli4011.1 |
[26] | Holmes RL (1983) Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring dating and measurement. Tree-Ring Bull 43:51–67. https://doi.org/10.1006/biol.1999.0214 |
[27] | Huang J, Li Y, Fu C, Chen F, Fu Q, Dai A, Shinoda M, Ma Z, Guo W, Li Z, Zhang L, Liu Y, Yu H, He Y, Xie Y, Guan X, Ji M, Lin L, Wang S, Yan H, Wang G (2017) Dryland climate change: recent progress and challenges. Rev Geophys 55(3):719–778. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016rg000550 |
[28] | Ji F, Wu ZH, Huang JP, Chassignet EP (2014) Evolution of land surface air temperature trend. Nat Clim Chang 4(6):462–466. https://doi.org/10.1038/Nclimate2223 |
[29] | Laumer W, Andreu L, Helle G, Schleser GH, Wieloch T, Wissel H (2009) A novel approach for the homogenization of cellulose to use micro-amounts for stable isotope analyses. Rapid Commun Mass Spectrom 23(13):1934–1940. https://doi.org/10.1002/rcm.4105 |
[30] | Leavitt SW (2008) Tree-ring isotopic pooling without regard to mass: no difference from averaging δC values of each tree. Chem Geol 252(1–2):52–55. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chemgeo.2008.01.014 |
[31] | Leavitt SW, Long A (1984) Sampling strategy for stable carbon isotope analysis of tree rings in pine. Nature 311(5982):145–147. https://doi.org/10.1038/311145a0 |
[32] | Li YJ, Fang KY, Cao CF, Li DW, Zhou FF, Dong ZP, Zhang Y, Gan ZF (2016) A tree-ring chronology spanning 210 years in the coastal area of southeastern China, and its relationship with climate change. Clim Res 67(3):209–220. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01376 |
[33] | Liu XH, Shao XM, Wang LL, Zhao LJ, Wu P, Chen T, Qin DH, Ren JW (2007) Climatic significance of the stable carbon isotope composition of tree-ring cellulose: comparison of Chinese hemlock (Pritz) and alpine pine (Mast) in a temperate-moist region of China. Sci China Ser D Earth Sci 50(7):1076–1085. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-007-0043-7 |
[34] | Liu JP, Curry JA, Wang HJ, Song MR, Horton RM (2012) Impact of declining Arctic sea ice on winter snowfall. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 109(11):4074–4079. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1114910109 |
[35] | Liu Y, Ta WY, Li Q, Song HM, Sun CF, Cai QF, Liu H, Wang L, Hu SL, Sun JY, Zhang WB, Li WZ (2018) Tree-ring stable carbon isotope-based April–June relative humidity reconstruction since AD 1648 in Mt. Tianmu China. Clim Dyn 50(5–6):1733–1745. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3718-6 |
[36] | Lu XJ, Fang JB, Yang XQ, Hu HB (2022) Intra-seasonal summer precipitation anomaly over eastern China and evolution characteristics of its associated tropical and mid-to-high latitudes atmospheric circulation. Acta Meteorol Sin 80(1):1–20. https://doi.org/10.11676/qxxb2022.003 |
[37] | Lv J, Tu QP, Qi JL, Wu LR (2002) Relative humidity series reconstructed by using stable isotopes in tree ring of Tianmu mountain. Sci Geol Sin 22(1):47–51. https://doi.org/10.3969/2012jms.00 |
[38] | Mann ME, Bradley RS, Hughes MK (1999) Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: inferences, uncertainties, and limitations. Geophys Res Lett 26(6):759–762. https://doi.org/10.1029/1999gl900070 |
[39] | McCarroll D, Loader NJ (2004) Stable isotopes in tree rings. Quat Sci Rev 23(7–8):771–801. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2003.06.017 |
[40] | Meko D, Graybill DA (1995) Tree-ring reconstruction of upper Gila river discharge. J Am Water Resour Assoc 31(4):605–616. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.1995.tb03388.x |
[41] | Moberg A, Sonechkin DM, Holmgren K, Datsenko NM, Karlén W (2005) Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data. Nature 433(7026):613–617. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature03265 |
[42] | PAGES 2k Consortium (2013) Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nat Geosci 6(5):339–346. https://doi.org/10.1038/Ngeo1797 |
[43] | Qian C, Wang J, Dong SY, Yin H, Burke C, Ciavarella A, Dong BW, Freychet N, Lott FC, Tett SFB (2018) Human influence on the record-breaking cold event in January of 2016 in eastern China. Bull Amer Meteorol Soc 99(1):S118–S122. https://doi.org/10.1175/Bams-D-17-0095.1 |
[44] | Rayner NA, Parker DE, Horton EB, Folland CK, Alexander LV, Rowell DP, Kent EC, Kaplan A (2003) Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res Atmos 108(D14):4407. https://doi.org/10.1029/2002jd002670 |
[45] | Sano M, Tshering P, Komori J, Fujita K, Xu CX, Nakatsuka T (2013) May–September precipitation in the Bhutan himalaya since 1743 as reconstructed from tree ring cellulose δ18O. J Geophys Res Atmos 118(15):8399–8410. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50664 |
[46] | Schneider L, Smerdon JE, Büntgen U, Wilson RJS, Myglan VS, Kirdyanov AV, Esper J (2015) Revising midlatitude summer temperatures back to A.D.?600 based on a wood density network. Geophys Res Lett 42(11):4556–4562. doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015gl063956 |
[47] | Shi F, Yang B, Mairesse A, von Gunten L, Li JP, Br?uning A, Yang FM, Xiao X (2013a) Northern Hemisphere temperature reconstruction during the last millennium using multiple annual proxies. Clim Res 56(3):231–244. https://doi.org/10.3354/cr01156 |
[48] | Shi JF, Cook ER, Li JB, Lu HY (2013b) Unprecedented January–July warming recorded in a 178-year tree-ring width chronology in the Dabie Mountains, southeastern China. Palaeogeogr Palaeoclimatol Palaeoecol 381:92–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2013.04.018 |
[49] | Stokes MA, Smiley TL (1968) An introduction to tree-ring dating. Nature 268(5619):402–404. https://doi.org/10.1038/268402b0 |
[50] | Tian Q, Prange M, Merkel U (2016) Precipitation and temperature changes in the major Chinese river basins during 1957–2013 and links to sea surface temperature. J Hydrol 536:208–221. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.02.048 |
[51] | Wang SW, Zhao ZC, Chen ZH, Wei SL, Yu PS (1980) The interactions between the sea surface temperature and the atmospheric circulation in the winter half year. Acta Oceanol Sin 2(2):27–40 ((in Chinese)) |
[52] | Wang B, Wu RG, Fu XH (2000) Pacific–east Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect east Asian climate? J Clim 13(9):1517–1536. https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2000)013%3c1517:PEATHD%3e2.0.CO;2 |
[53] | Xu CX, Zheng HZ, Nakatsuka T, Sano M (2013) Oxygen isotope signatures preserved in tree ring cellulose as a proxy for April-September precipitation in Fujian, the subtropical region of southeast China. J Geophys Res Atmos 118(23):12805–12815. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013jd019803 |
[54] | Xu CX, Ge JY, Nakatsuka T, Yi L, Zheng HZ, Sano M (2016) Potential utility of tree ring δ18O series for reconstructing precipitation records from the lower reaches of the Yangtze River, southeast China. J Geophys Res Atmos 121(8):3954–3968. https://doi.org/10.1002/2015jd023610 |
[55] | Xu GB, Liu XH, Hu J, Dorado-Linan I, Gagen M, Szejner P, Chen T, Trouet V (2022) Intra-annual tree-ring delta O-18 and delta C-13 reveal a trade-off between isotopic source and humidity in moist environments. Tree Physiol 42(11):2203–2223. https://doi.org/10.1093/treephys/tpac076 |
[56] | Yang B, Qin C, Br?uning A, Osborn TJ, Trouet V, Ljungqvist FC, Esper J, Schneider L, Griessinger J, Büntgen U, Rossi S, Dong GH, Yan M, Ning L, Wang JL, Wang XF, Wang SM, Luterbacher J, Cook ER, Stenseth NC (2021) Long-term decrease in Asian monsoon rainfall and abrupt climate change events over the past 6,700 years. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 118(30):e2102007118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102007118 |
[57] | Zeng AY, Zhou FF, Li W, Bai YH, Zeng CS (2019) Tree-ring indicators of winter-spring temperature in central China over the past 200 years. Dendrochronologia 58:125634. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dendro.2019.125634 |
[58] | Zhang RH, Sumi A, Kimoto M (1999) A diagnostic study of the impact of El Nino on the precipitation in China. Adv Atmos Sci 16(2):229–241. https://doi.org/10.1007/Bf02973084 |
[59] | Zheng JY, Liu Y, Hao ZX, Ge QS (2016) Phenological cold/warm events recorded in historical documents and quantitative proxies for winter temperature in southern China during the past 500 years. Quat Sci 36(3):690–701. https://doi.org/10.11928/j.issn.1001-7410.2016.03.18 |
[60] | Zhou FF, Fang KY, Zhang F, Dong ZP (2020) Hydroclimate change encoded in tree rings of Fengshui woods in southeastern China and its teleconnection with El Nino-Southern oscillation. Water Resour Res 56(1):e2018WR024612. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024612 |
/
〈 | 〉 |