A disk failure prediction model for multiple issues

Abstract

Disk failure prediction methods have been useful in handing a single issue, e.g., heterogeneous disks, model aging, and minority samples. However, because these issues often exist simultaneously, prediction models that can handle only one will result in prediction bias in reality. Existing disk failure prediction methods simply fuse various models, lacking discussion of training data preparation and learning patterns when facing multiple issues, although the solutions to different issues often conflict with each other. As a result, we first explore the training data preparation for multiple issues via a data partitioning pattern, i.e., our proposed multi-property data partitioning (MDP). Then, we consider learning with the partitioned data for multiple issues as learning multiple tasks, and introduce the model-agnostic meta-learning (MAML) framework to achieve the learning. Based on these improvements, we propose a novel disk failure prediction model named MDP-MAML. MDP addresses the challenges of uneven partitioning and difficulty in partitioning by time, and MAML addresses the challenge of learning with multiple domains and minor samples for multiple issues. In addition, MDP-MAML can assimilate emerging issues for learning and prediction. On the datasets reported by two real-world data centers, compared to state-of-the-art methods, MDP-MAML can improve the area under the curve (AUC) and false detection rate (FDR) from 0.85 to 0.89 and from 0.85 to 0.91, respectively, while reducing the false alarm rate (FAR) from 4.88% to 2.85%.

Keywords

Storage system reliability / Disk failure prediction / Self-monitoring analysis and reporting technology (SMART) / Machine learning

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2023 Zhejiang University Press