Please wait a minute...

Frontiers of Economics in China

Front. Econ. China    2016, Vol. 11 Issue (2) : 192-195     https://doi.org/10.3868/s060-005-016-0012-9
Orginal Article
China’s Growth Prospects
Robert Barro()
Department of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA
Download: PDF(143 KB)  
Export: BibTeX | EndNote | Reference Manager | ProCite | RefWorks
Abstract

China’s diminished growth prospects are in the news and seem to spell bad news for just about everybody. This article assesses the evidence, arguing that China’s economic growth will be much slower from now on, reducing international trade. Perhaps the biggest challenge for China will be future political tensions in reconciling economic dreams with economic realities.

Keywords economic growth      longterm      China      forecast      middle income      convergence     
Issue Date: 08 June 2016
 Cite this article:   
Robert Barro. China’s Growth Prospects[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2016, 11(2): 192-195.
 URL:  
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/10.3868/s060-005-016-0012-9
http://journal.hep.com.cn/fec/EN/Y2016/V11/I2/192
Service
E-mail this article
E-mail Alert
RSS
Articles by authors
Robert Barro
Related articles from Frontiers Journals
[1] Yufei Liu, Xi Qu, Wei Wang, Xiaokun Chang. Does Population Aging Hinder the Accumulation of Human Capital? Evidence from China[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(2): 257-281.
[2] Zhaomin Zhang. Inter-Region Transportation Costs, Regional Economic Growth, and Disparities in China[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(2): 282-311.
[3] Serdar Ongan, Ismet Gocer. The Relationship between Interest Rates and Inflation: Examining the Fisher Effect in China[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(2): 247-256.
[4] Xin Jin. A Bayesian Nonparametric Investigation of the Predictive Effect of Exchange Rates on Commodity Prices[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(2): 179-210.
[5] Jun Zhang. Five Basic Insights into the Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(2): 167-178.
[6] Xiaoheng Zhang, Xu Tian. Firm-Level TFP Growth in the Chinese Automobile Industry[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2020, 15(1): 103-123.
[7] Michael Peng, Dongkai Jiang, Yingjie Wang. Forecasting Chinese Corporate Bond Defaults: Comparative Study of Market- vs. Accounting-Based Models[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(4): 536-582.
[8] Yi Che, Zuojun Fan, Yan Zhang. The Effect of Land Reallocation on Off-Farm Employments in Rural China[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(3): 401-427.
[9] Leo H. Chan, Maritza Sotomayor, Donald Lien. Impacts of the Contributions of FDI and Remittances on the Economic Growth in Asia and Latin America: A Comparative Study[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(3): 371-400.
[10] Yunpeng Sun, Jingjia Zhang. Effectiveness of Monetary Policy in China: Evidence from Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression Model[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(3): 336-370.
[11] Dani Rodrik. Where Are We in the Economics of Industrial Policies?[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(3): 329-335.
[12] Nidhi Bagaria, Saba Ismail. Export Performance of China: A Constant Market Share Analysis[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 110-130.
[13] Xianchun Xu. The Slowdown of China’s Economic Growth in Terms of Statistics[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 72-79.
[14] Justin Yifu Lin. China’s Growth Deceleration: Causes and Future Growth Prospect[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 26-52.
[15] Guoqiang Tian. Deceleration of China’s Economic Growth: Causes and Countermeasures[J]. Front. Econ. China, 2019, 14(1): 3-25.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed